Electric Power ›› 2025, Vol. 58 ›› Issue (4): 230-236.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202409074
• Artificial Intelligence in Power System • Previous Articles Next Articles
					
													XU Huihui1(
), TIAN Yunfei1(
), ZHAO Yuyang1(
), PENG Jing1, SHI Qingxin2(
), CHENG Rui2
												  
						
						
						
					
				
Received:2024-09-18
															
							
															
							
																	Accepted:2024-12-17
															
							
																	Online:2025-04-23
															
							
							
																	Published:2025-04-28
															
							
						Supported by:XU Huihui, TIAN Yunfei, ZHAO Yuyang, PENG Jing, SHI Qingxin, CHENG Rui. A Reliability Assessment Method for Distribution Networks Based on Conditional Generative Adversarial Network and Multi-agent Reinforcement Learning[J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(4): 230-236.
| 序号 | 类别 | 方法 | 误差百分比/% | |||
| 1 | 时序性 | 滞后时刻自相关系数 | 1.23 | |||
| 2 | 波动性 | 功率谱密度频谱分量 | 2.63 | |||
| 3 | 相关性 | 相关性系数 | 1.04 | |||
| 4 | 随机性 | 核密度估计法 | 0.98 | 
Table 1 Error analysis
| 序号 | 类别 | 方法 | 误差百分比/% | |||
| 1 | 时序性 | 滞后时刻自相关系数 | 1.23 | |||
| 2 | 波动性 | 功率谱密度频谱分量 | 2.63 | |||
| 3 | 相关性 | 相关性系数 | 1.04 | |||
| 4 | 随机性 | 核密度估计法 | 0.98 | 
| 场景 | SAIFI/ (次·(年·户)–1)  | SAIDI/ (h·(年·户)–1)  | ASAI/ %  | AENS/ ((kW·h)·(年·户)–1)  | ||||
| 1 | 0.1 581 | 5.0 137 | 99.9 427 | 28.5 964 | ||||
| 2 | 0.1 449 | 4.9 729 | 99.9 432 | 28.2 493 | ||||
| 3 | 0.1 324 | 4.9 043 | 99.9 440 | 27.9 132 | ||||
| 文献[ | 0.1 590 | 5.0 600 | 99.9 427 | 28.6 500 | 
Table 2 Reliability parameters
| 场景 | SAIFI/ (次·(年·户)–1)  | SAIDI/ (h·(年·户)–1)  | ASAI/ %  | AENS/ ((kW·h)·(年·户)–1)  | ||||
| 1 | 0.1 581 | 5.0 137 | 99.9 427 | 28.5 964 | ||||
| 2 | 0.1 449 | 4.9 729 | 99.9 432 | 28.2 493 | ||||
| 3 | 0.1 324 | 4.9 043 | 99.9 440 | 27.9 132 | ||||
| 文献[ | 0.1 590 | 5.0 600 | 99.9 427 | 28.6 500 | 
| 1 | 刘岑岑, 夏天, 李艳, 等. 基于显式可靠性指标的配电网多阶段扩展规划方法[J]. 中国电力, 2023, 56 (9): 87- 95. | 
| LIU Cencen, XIA Tian, LI Yan, et al. A multi-stage expansion planning method for distribution networks based on explicit reliability index[J]. Electric Power, 2023, 56 (9): 87- 95. | |
| 2 |  
											杜维, 杜兆斌, 范国晨, 等. 极端天气下考虑分布式电源可用程度的配电网多源协同恢复策略[J]. 广东电力, 2024, 37 (7): 88- 97. 
																							 DOI  | 
										
|  
											DU Wei, DU Zhaobin, FAN Guochen, et al. Multi-source cooperative restoration strategy of distribution network considering availability of distributed generation in extreme weather[J]. Guangdong Electric Power, 2024, 37 (7): 88- 97. 
																							 DOI  | 
										|
| 3 | 李泽成, 孙燕盈. 新型电力系统下考虑分布式光伏并网的配电网可靠性评估[J]. 山东电力技术, 2023, 50 (5): 1- 5, 47. | 
| LI Zecheng, SUN Yanying. Reliability evaluation of distribution network considering flexible grid connection of distributed photovoltaic power generations[J]. Shandong Electric Power, 2023, 50 (5): 1- 5, 47. | |
| 4 |  
											徐波, 熊国江, 叶方慧. 基于智能软开关优化配置的配电网柔性互联策略[J]. 电网与清洁能源, 2023, 39 (11): 86- 96. 
																							 DOI  | 
										
|  
											XU Bo, XIONG Guojiang, YE Fanghui. A flexible interconnection strategy for distribution networks based on intelligent soft-open point configuration[J]. Power System and Clean Energy, 2023, 39 (11): 86- 96. 
																							 DOI  | 
										|
| 5 | 黄南天, 王文婷, 蔡国伟, 等. 计及复杂气象耦合特性的模块化去噪变分自编码器多源–荷联合场景生成[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2019, 39 (10): 2924- 2934. | 
| HUANG Nantian, WANG Wenting, CAI Guowei, et al. The joint scenario generation of multi source-load by modular denoising variational autoencoder considering the complex coupling characteristics of meteorology[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2019, 39 (10): 2924- 2934. | |
| 6 | 罗萍萍, 盛奥, 林济铿, 等. 基于可解释性条件生成对抗网络的台风气象负荷场景生成方法[J]. 电力系统自动化, 2025, 49 (2): 186- 197. | 
| LUO Pingping, SHENG Ao, LIN Jikeng, et al. A Method for typhoon meteorological load scenario generation based on interpretable conditional generative adversarial networks[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2025, 49 (2): 186- 197. | |
| 7 | ZHANG S, LIU W X, WAN H Y, et al. Combing data-driven and model-driven methods for high proportion renewable energy distribution network reliability evaluation[J]. International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems, 2023, 149, 108941. | 
| 8 | ROCCO C M, MORENO J A. Fast Monte Carlo reliability evaluation using support vector machine[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2002, 76 (3): 237- 243. | 
| 9 | CAI B P, KONG X D, LIU Y H, et al. Application of Bayesian networks in reliability evaluation[J]. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 2018, 15 (4): 2146- 2157. | 
| 10 |  
											CAI B P, SHAO X Y, LIU Y H, et al. Remaining useful life estimation of structure systems under the influence of multiple causes: subsea pipelines as a case study[J]. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics, 2020, 67 (7): 5737- 5747. 
																							 DOI  | 
										
| 11 | LI G F, HUANG Y X, BIE Z H, et al. Machine-learning-based reliability evaluation framework for power distribution networks[J]. IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution, 2020, 14(12): 2282-2291. | 
| 12 |  
											LI Y Z, HAO G K, LIU Y, et al. Many-objective distribution network reconfiguration via deep reinforcement learning assisted optimization algorithm[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery, 2022, 37 (3): 2230- 2244. 
																							 DOI  | 
										
| 13 | 杨挺, 赵黎媛, 刘亚闯, 等. 基于深度强化学习的综合能源系统动态经济调度[J]. 电力系统自动化, 2021, 45 (5): 39- 47. | 
| YANG Ting, ZHAO Liyuan, LIU Yachuang, et al. Dynamic economic dispatch for integrated energy system based on deep reinforcement learning[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2021, 45 (5): 39- 47. | |
| 14 | CHOWDHURY N, BILLINTON R. A reliability test system for educational purposes-spinning reserve studies in isolated and interconnected systems[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2002, 6 (4): 1578- 1583. | 
| 15 | 呼斯乐, 于源, 王渊, 等. 考虑灵活性分析的典型光伏日出力率曲线提取方法[J]. 内蒙古电力技术, 2024, 42 (3): 20- 27. | 
| HU Sile, YU Yuan, WANG Yuan, et al. Method for extracting typical PV daily output curves considering flexibility analysis[J]. Inner Mongolia Electric Power, 2024, 42 (3): 20- 27. | |
| 16 |  
											缪月森, 夏红军, 黄宁洁, 等. 基于Informer的负荷及光伏出力系数预测[J]. 综合智慧能源, 2024, 46 (4): 60- 67. 
																							 DOI  | 
										
|  
											MIAO Yuesen, XIA Hongjun, HUANG Ningjie, et al. Prediction on loads and photovoltaic output coefficients based on Informer[J]. Integrated Intelligent Energy, 2024, 46 (4): 60- 67. 
																							 DOI  | 
										|
| 17 | 唐雅洁, 阎洁, 李玉浩, 等. 基于深度嵌入聚类的风光水典型联合出力场景提取[J]. 浙江电力, 2023, 42 (4): 36- 44. | 
| TANG Yajie, YAN Jie, LI Yuhao, et al. Extraction of typical combined output scenarios of wind-solar-hydropower generation based on deep embedding clustering[J]. Zhejiang Electric Power, 2023, 42 (4): 36- 44. | |
| 18 | 覃海, 陈胜, 张洪略, 等. 并网光伏电站关口无功调节能力的分时段等值方法[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57 (2): 27- 33. | 
| QIN Hai, CHEN Sheng, ZHANG Honglue, et al. Time-based equivalent method for reactive power regulation capacity of grid-connected photovoltaic plant[J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57 (2): 27- 33. | |
| 19 | 韩晓, 王涛, 韦晓广, 等. 考虑阵列间时空相关性的超短期光伏出力预测[J]. 电力系统保护与控制, 2024, 52 (14): 82- 94. | 
| HAN Xiao, WANG Tao, WEI Xiaoguang, et al. Ultrashort-term photovoltaic output forecasting considering spatiotemporal correlation between arrays[J]. Power System Protection and Control, 2024, 52 (14): 82- 94. | |
| 20 | 杨海柱, 刘森, 张鹏, 等. 基于改进黏菌算法的分布式光伏发电并网规划[J]. 南方电网技术, 2024, 18 (11): 119- 128. | 
| YANG Haizhu, LIU Sen, ZHANG Peng, et al. Integration planning of distributed photovoltaic generation based on improved slime mould algorithm[J]. Southern Power System Technology, 2024, 18 (11): 119- 128. | 
| [1] | LIU Han, LIU Jindong, LI He, LI Yanli, YU Qiyuan, ZHAO Yuan, GENG Yanan. Leakage Fault Identification of PV-Integrated Distribution Networks Based on CEEMDAN and NRBO-XGBoost [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(9): 23-32. | 
| [2] | ZHAO Shanshan, Gao Fei, LI Yajie, LI Jianfang, ZHANG Yu, DUAN Xiangjun, DONG Weijie. Multi-objective Optimization Control of Flexible Distribution Networks with Microgrid Clusters Based on Improved Memetic Algorithm [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(9): 97-104. | 
| [3] | WANG Shiqian, HAN Ding, WANG Nan, BAI Hongkun, SONG Dawei, HU Caihong. Cooperative Scheduling of Active Distribution Network Based on Two Layer Master Slave Game [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(9): 105-114. | 
| [4] | JI Xingquan, MAO Huizong, YE Pingfeng, LIU Zhiqiang, ZHANG Xiangxing, HUANG Xinyue, NI Yachao. Single-Pole High-Resistance Grounding Protection for DC Distribution Lines Based on Current Integral Quantity Correlation [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(8): 12-22, 30. | 
| [5] | LI Zhipeng, LIU Shaobo, YANG Hao, DONG Rui, QI Chenfeng, SHEN Shuo, ZHAO Peng. Synergistic Optimization of Harmonic Suppression and Loss Reduction in Distribution Networks Based on PSO [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(8): 50-59. | 
| [6] | LIU Junhui, GONG Jian, TONG Bingshen, LI Songjie, ZHANG Yihan, CUI Shichang, TIAN Chunzheng, ZHANG Yongbin. Coordinated Optimization Method for Virtual Power Plants and Distribution Networks Considering Distributed Energy Storage and Photovoltaics [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(6): 1-9. | 
| [7] | QIN Kun, QU Zhijiang, HAN Jianwei, XU Tao, GAO Feng, CHI Xiaoli. Battery Optimization Operation Strategy for the "SOP-Storage-Charger" Devices Based on Adjustable Virtual Impedance [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(6): 145-155. | 
| [8] | WU Jiangxiong, LIU Qiankuan, YANG Guoyan, JIANG Liandian. Secondary Measurement Loop Error Assessment in Substations with Application of Deep Learning Networks [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(6): 206-212. | 
| [9] | LI Peng, ZU Wenjing, LIU Yixin, TIAN Chunzheng, HAO Yuanzhao, LI Huixuan. State Estimation Method for Distribution Network Based on Incomplete Measurement Data [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(5): 1-10. | 
| [10] | WANG Jinfeng, LI Jinpeng, XU Yinliang, LIU Haitao, HE Jinxiong, XU Jianyuan. Distributed Optimization for VPP and Distribution Network Operation Considering Uncertainty and Green Certificate Market [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(4): 21-30, 192. | 
| [11] | BAO Hongyan, LIU Jicheng, LIU Ziyi, SUN Jiakang. A Two-layer Optimization Model for Active Distribution Networks Considering Electric-Hydrogen Hybrid Energy Storage Capacity Allocation [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(10): 27-38. | 
| [12] | LIAO Jian, ZHANG Yao, ZHANG Beixi, DONG Haomiao, LI Jiaxing, SUN Qianhao. A Robust Joint Planning Method for Soft Open Points and Energy Storage Systems in AC/DC Hybrid Distribution Networks Considering Electric Vehicle Demand Response [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(10): 82-96. | 
| [13] | LIAO Jiaqi, YU Ruoying, YE Rongbo, XIONG Junjie, XIA Junrong. Coordinated Control Method for Low-Voltage Distribution Networks with High-Penetration Residential Photovoltaic [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(10): 110-120, 135. | 
| [14] | QI Huanruo, CHEN Chen, GUO Fang, XUE Wenjie, YAN Xiangyang, KANG Yilong, LIU Juncheng, MA Siyuan. Multi-objective Bi-level Planning Model for Distribution Network Energy Storage Considering Refined Charging/Discharging and Carbon Benefits [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(10): 121-135. | 
| [15] | LI Yuehua, WANG Shuai, MA Zhuoran, YANG Zhiming, LIAO Xiaobing. Power Flow Optimization and Control Method for Distribution Networks Based on Hybrid Power Electronics Transformers [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(10): 171-179. | 
| Viewed | ||||||
| 
										Full text | 
									
										 | 
								|||||
| 
										Abstract | 
									
										 | 
								|||||
