中国电力 ›› 2013, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (12): 122-126.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2013.12.122.4

• 节能与环保 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国电力工业碳排放强度影响因素实证分析

霍沫霖, 韩新阳, 单葆国   

  1. 国网能源研究院,北京 100052
  • 收稿日期:2013-09-12 出版日期:2013-12-23 发布日期:2015-12-10
  • 作者简介:霍沫霖(1986—),女,重庆人,博士,从事能源经济、电力需求、智能用电等方面的研究。

Empirical Study on Key Factors of Carbon Emission Intensity of Power Industry

HUO Mo-lin, HAN Xin-yang, SHAN Bao-guo   

  1. State Grid Energy Research Institute, Beijing 100052, China
  • Received:2013-09-12 Online:2013-12-23 Published:2015-12-10

摘要: 电力工业在保障经济快速发展同时,也面临较大的节能减排压力。对电力工业CO2排放强度的影响因素进行实证分析,利用对数平均迪氏指数法建立因素分解模型,分析1991—2010年厂用电率、发电结构、发电煤耗、线损率等因素的变化对电力工业碳排放强度变化的影响。结果显示,碳排放强度累计下降主要受发电煤耗下降的正向作用,而碳排放强度的短期变化主要受发电结构影响,其次是发电煤耗,再次是线损率和厂用电率。

关键词: 碳排放, 减排, 分解分析, 电力工业

Abstract: The power industry faces big challenges of energy saving and emission reduction while it supplies energy for the fast development of the economy. The paper conducts an empirical study on key factors of carbon emission intensity of the power industry. A factor decomposition model is established with the logarithmic mean divisia index to analyze the impacts of some factors such as the house service rate, the power generation structure, the gross coal consumption rate and the line losses on carbon emission intensity. The empirical results show that the reduction of gross coal consumption rate in positive direction is the main contributor to the accumulative reduction of carbon emission intensity, while the primary cause for the short-term changes of carbon emission intensity is the power generation structure and the other causes are, the gross coal consumption rate, the line losses and the house service rate in descending order.

Key words: carbon emission, emission reduction, decomposition analysis, power industry

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