An Analysis of the Driving Factors of Chinese Electricity Consumption from 1997 to 2017

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202110070

Abstract

Abstract: The logarithmic mean divisia index (LMDI) factor decomposition method is used to analyze the driving effects of economic factor, technical factor, structural factor, population factor and resident activity factor on the China's electricity consumption growth between 1997 and 2017. The results show that economic factor contribute most to the increase in electricity consumption; the technical factor and structural factor slow down the rapid growth of electricity consumption; and the contribution of population and resident activity factors to the growth of electricity consumption gradually increases. It is suggested that we should continue to maintain high-quality economic growth and formulate more scientific and reasonable electricity development goals and targeted policies and measures. The transformation of household electricity consumption patterns should be guided rationally to meet the residents' high-quality living needs with high-quality electricity development.

Key words: LMDI decomposition, electricity consumption, electricity consumption intensity, accumulative contribution

WANG Hailin, WENG Yuyan, ZHANG Chenglong. An Analysis of the Driving Factors of Chinese Electricity Consumption from 1997 to 2017[J]. Electric Power, 2022, 55(7): 74-80.

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URL: https://www.electricpower.com.cn/EN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202110070

https://www.electricpower.com.cn/EN/Y2022/V55/I7/74

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