Electric Power ›› 2021, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (9): 125-134.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202004118

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Monthly Electricity Consumption Characteristics of Industries in Guangzhou and Optimized Electricity Management Based on Geographical Detector

ZHANG Yuntao1,2,3, CAI Guotian1,2,3, KE Shangjun1,2,4, WANG Wenxiu1,2   

  1. 1. Guangzhou Institute of Energy Conversion, CAS, Guangzhou 510640, China;
    2. Key Laboratory of Renewable Energy, CAS, Guangzhou 510640, China;
    3. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;
    4. Nano Science and Technology Institute, University of Science and Technology of China, Suzhou 215123, China
  • Received:2020-04-15 Revised:2020-10-22 Published:2021-09-14
  • Supported by:
    This work is supported by Soft Science Research Program of Guangdong Province (No. 2016A080803002), Science and Technology Project of Guangdong Province (No.2018A050501011), Basic and Applied Basic Research Project of Guangzhou (No.202002030189)

Abstract: To implement demand-side management (DSM) to specific industries, this paper analyzed electricity consumption characteristics of each industry within 60 months from 2013 to 2017, depending on the geographical detector and the electricity consumption complementarity model. On this basis, it explored the optimal management path of industry electricity consumption from the perspective of industry and time through scenario analysis. In light of the monthly electricity consumption characteristics of different industries in Guangzhou, the main driving sub-industries for electricity consumption in the industry were identified, and the electricity consumption combinations that can offset the fluctuation in electricity consumption were employed. The research finds that optimizing the industrial electricity consumption structure and upgrading the consumption time management considering the electricity consumption level of Guangzhou in 2017 can reduce the monthly peak–valley difference of Guangzhou electricity consumption by about 225 million kW·h. In the future, the monthly electricity consumption forecast of the industry, combined with the analysis of electricity complementarity, can be used to calculate the industry’s electricity dispatching potential, so as to provide data support for the improvement in demand-side management of electricity.

Key words: monthly electricity consumption of industry, geographical detector, electricity complementarity, scenario analysis, optimal management