Electric Power ›› 2016, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (12): 127-132.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2016.12.127.06

• New Energy • Previous Articles     Next Articles

A Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method of Multiple Output Model

YANG Mao, DONG Juncheng   

  1. College of Electrical Engineering, Northeast Dianli University, Jilin 132012, China
  • Received:2016-08-20 Online:2016-12-20 Published:2016-12-29
  • Supported by:
    This work is supported by the National Major Basic Research Program (973 Program) (No. 2013CB228201); the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No. 51307017); the Scientific, Technological Planning Project of Jilin Province(No. 20140520129JH); The “12th Five-Year Plan” Scientific and Technological Research Project for Education Department of Jilin province (Ji Jiao Ke He Zi[2014] No. 474) and Industrial Technology Research and Development for Special Project of Jilin Province (No. 2014Y124).

Abstract: Accurate wind power prediction is important for power system planning and operation. Based on extensive wind power historical data, a new short-term prediction method of multiple output model is proposed by combing correlation analysis and K-Nearest Neighbor algorithm. Taken field measurement data from two wind farms in Northeast region as example, the two multi-step prediction methods are evaluated by using index defined by National Energy Board. The results show high precision and simplicity of proposed method.

Key words: wind power, correlation analysis, K-Nearest Neighbors, short-term, prediction

CLC Number: