Site Selection of Offshore Wind Power-Hydrogen Production and Refueling Ports Based on Empirical Mining and Hybrid Linguistic Approach

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202403015

Abstract

Abstract:

To support the decision-making for site selection of offshore wind power-hydrogen production and refueling ports (OWP-HPRP), we propose a multi-attribute decision-making method using experience mining algorithm and hybrid linguistic terminologies. Initially, the crawler algorithm, TextRank algorithm, Word2Vec algorithm, and Louvain algorithm are used to facilitate the mining, ranking, word pairs construction, and clustering of historical empirical documents, and an experience mining based attribute set is thereby obtained. Secondly, the linguistic terminologies such as the duality-confidence linguistics, cloud models and real numbers are introduced to enable the accommodation of quantitative and qualitative data expressions and to solve the distortion problem in transformation of data set. Finally, a standardized formula is introduced to process the indicator data, and a comprehensive ranking result is thus obtained. The effectiveness of the proposed method was verified through a case study of site selection for an offshore wind power-hydrogen production and refueling port. The results show that according to both the qualitative and quantitative assessments, the site scheme A5 based on the technical scheme of centralized hydrogen production + liquid hydrogen + purchase/lease of ships is comprehensively optimal. The sensitivity analysis indicates that the technical scheme of gas hydrogen storage and transportation technology combined with shipping transportation has a good performance in technical maturity and economy.

Key words: offshore wind power, hydrogen production and refueling, experience minin, duality-confidence double hierarchy linguistics, cloud model

Ningbo HUANG, Jianwei GAO, Chuanbo XU, Xuanhua XU, Shutong ZHAO, Xunjie GOU, Xiaojing JIANG. Site Selection of Offshore Wind Power-Hydrogen Production and Refueling Ports Based on Empirical Mining and Hybrid Linguistic Approach[J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(9): 113-123.

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URL: https://www.electricpower.com.cn/EN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202403015

https://www.electricpower.com.cn/EN/Y2024/V57/I9/113

Figures/Tables 9

References 33

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数值	语义	数值	语义
1	完全不自信	5	高的自信度
2	很低的自信度	6	很高的自信度
3	低的自信度	7	完全自信
4	中等的自信度

数值	语义	数值	语义
1	完全不自信	5	高的自信度
2	很低的自信度	6	很高的自信度
3	低的自信度	7	完全自信
4	中等的自信度

一级指标	二级指标	关键词
自然因素	风速	风能资源；风速分布；风向变化；长期风速变化；电力生产潜力；能源评估；风力发电效率···
	水深	海洋地形；水深测量；海床地质；建设成本；基础建设；水下结构；设计参数；安全评估···
	浪高	气象条件；浪高频率；风暴影响；设备稳定性；维护成本；海洋动力学；设计安全；海浪数据···
	用地面积	空间规划；建设限制；场址选择；环境影响；土地利用；开发潜力；规模可扩展性；地理条件···
经济因素	LCOH	初始投资成本；运维成本折现；税收折现；利息折现；回收残值；全寿命制氢量折现；现金折现率；折现期数···
技术因素	单位可利用小时数	风力发电机效率；运行稳定性；维护周期；故障率；性能监测；能源供应稳定性；可用性分析···
技术因素	技术成熟度	技术验证；成本效益；市场接受度；研发进度；技术壁垒；创新应用；技术标准；发展趋势···
社会因素	政府支持	政策激励；资金补贴；法规框架；项目批准；政策环境；发展规划；环境评估政策；投资优惠···
	公众支持	社会接受度；公众意识；社区参与；意见征询；教育普及；公众关系；社会责任；媒体报道···
	氢气需求	市场规模；需求增长；应用领域；消费趋势；价格敏感性；竞争分析；市场潜力；客户调研···
	GDP增长	经济贡献；产业发展；就业创造；技术创新；产值增长；投资吸引；地方经济；产业链效应···
环境因素	节能效益	能源利用率；节能措施；能源管理；节能技术；效率提升；消耗降低；环保标准；绿色能源···
环境因素	碳减排	减排目标；温室气体；碳足迹；环境保护；清洁能源；碳交易；碳税；环境影响评估；气候变化···
风险因素	极端天气	天气预报；风险评估；应急准备；灾害影响；安全措施；设备防护；风险管理；恢复计划···
	配电可靠性	电网稳定；供电中断；备用电源；电力质量；电网接入；电力供应；运营风险；维护策略···
	气体泄漏	安全标准；泄露检测；防泄措施；应急响应；风险控制；维修协议；安全培训；监控系统···
	储运风险	物流管理；储存条件；运输安全；风险识别；风险预防；安全规范；应急措施；储运设备···

一级指标	二级指标	关键词
自然因素	风速	风能资源；风速分布；风向变化；长期风速变化；电力生产潜力；能源评估；风力发电效率···
	水深	海洋地形；水深测量；海床地质；建设成本；基础建设；水下结构；设计参数；安全评估···
	浪高	气象条件；浪高频率；风暴影响；设备稳定性；维护成本；海洋动力学；设计安全；海浪数据···
	用地面积	空间规划；建设限制；场址选择；环境影响；土地利用；开发潜力；规模可扩展性；地理条件···
经济因素	LCOH	初始投资成本；运维成本折现；税收折现；利息折现；回收残值；全寿命制氢量折现；现金折现率；折现期数···
技术因素	单位可利用小时数	风力发电机效率；运行稳定性；维护周期；故障率；性能监测；能源供应稳定性；可用性分析···
技术因素	技术成熟度	技术验证；成本效益；市场接受度；研发进度；技术壁垒；创新应用；技术标准；发展趋势···
社会因素	政府支持	政策激励；资金补贴；法规框架；项目批准；政策环境；发展规划；环境评估政策；投资优惠···
	公众支持	社会接受度；公众意识；社区参与；意见征询；教育普及；公众关系；社会责任；媒体报道···
	氢气需求	市场规模；需求增长；应用领域；消费趋势；价格敏感性；竞争分析；市场潜力；客户调研···
	GDP增长	经济贡献；产业发展；就业创造；技术创新；产值增长；投资吸引；地方经济；产业链效应···
环境因素	节能效益	能源利用率；节能措施；能源管理；节能技术；效率提升；消耗降低；环保标准；绿色能源···
环境因素	碳减排	减排目标；温室气体；碳足迹；环境保护；清洁能源；碳交易；碳税；环境影响评估；气候变化···
风险因素	极端天气	天气预报；风险评估；应急准备；灾害影响；安全措施；设备防护；风险管理；恢复计划···
	配电可靠性	电网稳定；供电中断；备用电源；电力质量；电网接入；电力供应；运营风险；维护策略···
	气体泄漏	安全标准；泄露检测；防泄措施；应急响应；风险控制；维修协议；安全培训；监控系统···
	储运风险	物流管理；储存条件；运输安全；风险识别；风险预防；安全规范；应急措施；储运设备···

方案	自然因素			经济因素
方案	风速	水深/m	用地面积/km²	平均LCOH
A1	(7.18,3.26,2.02)	81	1200	39.18
A2	(6.82,2.92,1.84)	102	2240	39.19
A3	(6.61,2.68,1.85)	55	800	31.90
A4	(6.56,2.71,1.87)	65	864	33.51
A5	(6.57,2.64,1.72)	59	1056	33.51

方案	技术因素	社会因素	环境因素
方案	可利用小时数/h	GDP增长/亿元	节能效益/万t	碳减排/万t
A1	6487	1569.15	650.75	1730.00
A2	6309	2779.56	1214.73	3229.33
A3	6353	1005.90	433.83	1153.33
A4	6201	1037.12	468.54	1245.60
A5	6330	1318.68	572.66	1522.40