基于清洁能源可获得量违约分析的电力规划

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2013.6.103.4

中国电力 ›› 2013, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (6): 103-107.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2013.6.103.4

基于清洁能源可获得量违约分析的电力规划

胡情，黄国和，李薇

华北电力大学能源与环境研究院区域能源系统优化教育部重点实验室,北京 102206

收稿日期:2013-01-12 出版日期:2013-06-05 发布日期:2015-12-15
作者简介:胡情（1985—）,女,安徽安庆人,博士研究生,从事能源与环境系统分析及区域能源系统优化方面的研究。E-mail: qinghu79@gmail.com
基金资助:
教育部科学技术研究重大项目（311013）

Planning of Power Generation Systems Based on Violation Analysis of Clean Energy Resources Availabilities

HU Qing, HUANG Guo-he, LI Wei

MOE Key Laboratory of Regional Energy Systems Optimization, Resources and Environmental Research Academy,North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China

Received:2013-01-12 Online:2013-06-05 Published:2015-12-15

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 合理的电力生产规划,对提高电力行业能效具有重要的意义。针对电力系统中的复杂性及参数的多种不确定性,建立了基于低端达到度的电力生产不确定机会约束模型。该模型从系统角度出发,综合考虑能源的供应、发电技术的选择、发电系统的改扩建、电力生产、污染削减以及电力消费等一系列过程,为电力系统能源优化配置奠定了基础;通过概率水平P_pi,定量化表征清洁能源可获得量约束被违约水平,分析不同违约水平下能源资源供应、电力生产、容量扩充以及污染物消减方案,揭示系统效益与可靠性之间的权衡关系,为维护电力系统发电侧安全提供了技术支持。

关键词: 发电, 电力规划, 污染减排, 低端达到度, 机会约束, 违约分析

Abstract: Reasonable plans for electric power generation systems are very critical for efficiency improvement in electric power industry. In this study, a lower-side-attainment-value-based inexact fuzzy chance-constraint programming model is developed to deal with the complexities and uncertainties in regional electric power generation system planning. Firstly, the model integrated the energy supply, conversion and consumption, the option, renovation and expansion of conversion technologies, the electricity generation and the pollutant mitigation into the planning frame, providing a foundation for optimized energy allocation. Secondly, based on probability(pi) levels, the violation of constraints on clean energy resource availabilities can be quantified, and the relationship between system costs and reliability can be reflected via the analysis on the solutions to energy supply, electricity generation, capacity expansion and emission mitigation under different pi levels, which is supportive to the security of generation side.

Key words: power generation, power, planning, emission mitigation, lower-side attainment value, chance-constraint, violation analysis

中图分类号:

TM715

胡情，黄国和，李薇. 基于清洁能源可获得量违约分析的电力规划[J]. 中国电力, 2013, 46(6): 103-107.

HU Qing, HUANG Guo-he, LI Wei. Planning of Power Generation Systems Based on Violation Analysis of Clean Energy Resources Availabilities[J]. Electric Power, 2013, 46(6): 103-107.

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https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/Y2013/V46/I6/103

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基于清洁能源可获得量违约分析的电力规划

Planning of Power Generation Systems Based on Violation Analysis of Clean Energy Resources Availabilities

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基于清洁能源可获得量违约分析的电力规划

Planning of Power Generation Systems Based on Violation Analysis of Clean Energy Resources Availabilities

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