Power Grid Scale Prediction and Optimization Needs Based on Policy Requirements of Modern Infrastructure System

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202310055

Abstract

Abstract:

After the modern infrastructure system policy was put forward, new requirements were put forward for the construction of transportation, water conservancy, energy, and new infrastructure represented by information and communications. Starting from the effectiveness of infrastructure, various industries have proposed optimization directions for layout, structure, function, and system integration. This article starts from the study of the functional role of the modern infrastructure system, analyzes the important role of the power grid infrastructure in the modern infrastructure system, and uses Pearson's correlation coefficient to study the relationship between the power grid infrastructure line length and transformer capacity scale and the electricity consumption of the whole society. The article also forecasts the length of transmission lines and transformer capacity scale in the eastern, central, western, northeastern, and other regions in 2025 and 2035. On this basis, the layout, structure, and function of the power grid infrastructure within the framework of the modern infrastructure system are analyzed, and the logic of system integration optimization is given. In addition, the requirements for power grid layout structure function and system integration optimization in building a modern infrastructure system are put forward, providing a reference for the investment and construction of power grid infrastructure.

Key words: modern infrastructure system, layout, structure, function, system integration, optimization needs

Xin TIAN, Linyu WANG, Xingpei JI, Xinyang HAN. Power Grid Scale Prediction and Optimization Needs Based on Policy Requirements of Modern Infrastructure System[J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(2): 1-8.

Add to citation manager EndNote|Ris|BibTeX

URL: https://www.electricpower.com.cn/EN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202310055

https://www.electricpower.com.cn/EN/Y2024/V57/I2/1

Figures/Tables 9

References 19

1	中华人民共和国中央人民政府. 中华人民共和国国民经济和社会发展第十四个五年规划和2035年远景目标纲要[EB/OL]. (2021-03)[2023-02-07]. http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2021-03/13/content_5592681.htm.
2	中华人民共和国发展和改革委员会规划司. “十四五”规划《纲要》解读文章之8\| 建设现代化基础设施体系[EB/OL]. (2021-12-25)[2023-02-07]. https://www.ndrc.gov.cn/fggz/fzzlgh/202112/t20211225_1309696.html.
3	陈璟, 刘晨, 孙鹏. 新发展阶段交通强国建设理论探讨[J]. 综合运输, 2022, 44 (12): 23- 27.
	CHEN Jing, LIU Chen, SUN Peng. Discussion on theory of the construction of country with strong transportation network in a new development stage[J]. China Transportation Review, 2022, 44 (12): 23- 27.
4	耿彦斌, 刘长俭, 孙相军. 新发展阶段加快建设交通强国的宏观特征与优化路径[J]. 科技导报, 2022, 40 (14): 31- 40.
	GENG Yanbin, LIU Changjian, SUN Xiangjun. Macro characteristics and optimization path of accelerating to build transportation power in China in the new development stage[J]. Science & Technology Review, 2022, 40 (14): 31- 40.
5	秦韶阳, 赵德, 章国梁, 等. 交通强国背景下的城市群综合交通系统评价指标体系构建[J]. 现代交通与冶金材料, 2022, 2 (3): 10- 17.
	QIN Shaoyang, ZHAO De, ZHANG Guoliang, et al. Construction of comprehensive transportation system evaluation index system of urban agglomeration under transportation power[J]. Modern Transportation and Metallurgical Materials, 2022, 2 (3): 10- 17.
6	交通强国建设评价指标体系[J]. 中国水运, 2022(4): 12–15.
7	司晨钟. 交通强国战略视角下交通运输信息化建设运营模式分析[J]. 数字通信世界, 2022, (11): 159- 161.
	SI Chenzhong. Analysis on the operation mode of transportation informatization construction from perspective of transportation power strategy[J]. Digital Communication World, 2022, (11): 159- 161.
8	张峰, 魏天呈. 交通强国愿景下智慧交通投融资最优路径探讨[J]. 公路, 2022, 67 (9): 342- 345.
9	罗玗琪. 交通强国建设背景下城市轨道交通运营服务质量提升方法思考[J]. 华东科技, 2022, (4): 105- 107.
10	常存. 水利基础设施建设中灵活运用REITs模式的思考[J]. 水利发展研究, 2022, 22 (10): 21- 24.
	CHANG Cun. Reflections on the flexible use of REITs model in water infrastructure construction[J]. Water Resources Development Research, 2022, 22 (10): 21- 24.
11	郝飞, 黄力辉. 金融活水推动水利基础设施项目建设提速[N]. 农村金融时报, 2022-09-19(A01).
12	水利部关于推进水利基础设施政府和社会资本合作(PPP)模式发展的指导意见[J]. 中华人民共和国国务院公报, 2022(21): 38–41.
	Guiding opinions of the ministry of water resources on promoting the development of public-private partnership model in water Resources infrastructure[J]. Gazette of the Ministry of Water Resources of the People's Republic of China, 2022(21): 38–41.
13	侯巍巍, 胡向东. 农田水利基础设施建设与管护中多方主体参与机制研究: 基于对云南陆良恨虎坝模式的分析[J]. 价格理论与实践, 2021, (10): 15- 19, 39.
	HOU Weiwei, HU Xiangdong. Research on the mechanism of multi-participation in the construction and management of farmland water conservancy infrastructure: based on the analysis of Yunnan Lulianghen Huba model[J]. Price (Theory & Practice), 2021, (10): 15- 19, 39.
14	华南. 区域水利基础设施建设对产业发展的影响机制研究: 以长江经济带为例[D]. 贵阳: 贵州大学, 2021.
	HUA Nan. Study on the influence mechanism of regional water conservancy infrastructure construction on industrial development -- taking the Yangtze River economic belt as an example [D]. Guiyang: Guizhou University, 2021.
15	卜刚. 水利基础设施对农业经济发展的重要作用探究: 评《虚拟水战略与中国农业水资源配置研究》[J]. 人民长江, 2021, 52 (4): 233.
16	曾钟慧. 韧性视角下的城市水利基础设施景观化研究: 以靖州县河街段为例[D]. 西安: 西安建筑科技大学, 2022.
	ZENG Zhonghui. Research on urban landscape water infrastructure from the perspective of resilience— taking river street in Jingzhou County as an example[D]. Xi'an: Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, 2022.
17	成建国. 数字孪生水网建设思路初探[J]. 中国水利, 2022, (20): 18- 22, 10.
	CHENG Jianguo. Preliminary study on the construction of digital twin water network[J]. China Water Resources, 2022, (20): 18- 22, 10.
18	王仲颖, 康艳兵, 姚明涛. “十四五”能源基础设施协同融合发展思路与举措[J]. 中国经贸导刊, 2021, (7): 59- 62.
19	未来智库网站. 新型交通能源基础设施发展研究报告2022. (2022-10-03)[2023-02-07]. https://www.vzkoo.com/document/20221003d1e7f8c72f8f22c341b3bea3.html.

对能源的需求	能源类别	途径	电力替代趋势
生产制造	煤炭、石油、天然气、电力	锅炉、内燃机、电动机、电控设备等	中
生活必需	天然气、液化气、电能	灶具、电视机、电脑、手机	高
照明	电力	电灯
食物加工	火炉、电能	煤炭、电烤炉	中
交通运输	汽油、柴油、天然气、电力	内燃机、电动机驱动	强
温度	供热管道、电力、天然气	供热管网、自采暖（空调、电暖气、燃气炉、热泵等）	强

对能源的需求	能源类别	途径	电力替代趋势
生产制造	煤炭、石油、天然气、电力	锅炉、内燃机、电动机、电控设备等	中
生活必需	天然气、液化气、电能	灶具、电视机、电脑、手机	高
照明	电力	电灯
食物加工	火炉、电能	煤炭、电烤炉	中
交通运输	汽油、柴油、天然气、电力	内燃机、电动机驱动	强
温度	供热管道、电力、天然气	供热管网、自采暖（空调、电暖气、燃气炉、热泵等）	强

集成类别	集成方式
集成类别	维度1	维度2	维度3	维度4
小集成	大电网与新能源微电网集成	源网荷储集成	多能互补能源互联网	电网与抽水蓄能的集成
大集成	电网与交通融合发展	电网与节能建筑集成	电网与信息通信设施集成	电网与智慧城市的集成

集成类别	集成方式
集成类别	维度1	维度2	维度3	维度4
小集成	大电网与新能源微电网集成	源网荷储集成	多能互补能源互联网	电网与抽水蓄能的集成
大集成	电网与交通融合发展	电网与节能建筑集成	电网与信息通信设施集成	电网与智慧城市的集成

[1]	ZHENG Jiajun, DUAN Xiaoyu, HU Zechun, HU Xiaorui, ZHU Bin. Modular Mobile Charging Facility Layout Optimization Method and Deployment Strategy [J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(4): 107-118.
[2]	Rui ZHU, Qihe LOU, Xiaoling JIN, Chang LIU. Evolution of Functional Investment Structure of Power Grid Infrastructure Suitable for New Power System [J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(9): 194-204.
[3]	Shuwen XU, Guying ZHUO, Zhuang LI, Min LIU, Qing MU. Large-Scale Power Grid ADPSS Electromagnetic Transient Modeling Method and Software Implementation Based on PSD-BPA Data [J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(8): 182-189.
[4]	Min QIU, Ying ZHOU, Weibo ZHAO, Yang WANG, Songsong CHEN, Yaoyang GUO, Bo ZHAO. Attribution and Quantitative Analysis Method for Regional Power Load Growth Based on Feature Construction [J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(8): 190-205.
[5]	Yongsheng HE, Dan LUO, Zongxiang LU. Integration of Digital Twin Model System for Ultra-high Voltage Converter Transformer Valve-Side Bushing [J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(6): 165-173.
[6]	Meiling LUO, Zixiao LI, Tao ZHENG, Xiaojun YU, Jianyun WU, Haibin XIE. Single Terminal Transient Protection Scheme Based on Fuzzy Multi-criteria Fusion [J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(3): 60-72.
[7]	Yiming LI, Qi HE, Hailiang WANG, Hao ZHONG, Hui MA, Yuehua HUANG. Centralized Control Strategy for Hybrid Microgrid Based on Layered Event Triggering [J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(3): 73-82.
[8]	Fan YANG, Shuiping WEI, Yi REN, Zilong CHEN, Jian LE. Multi-objective Collaborative Optimization Control Method of Composite Function Grid Connected Inverters Considering Variable Weight Hybrid Decision Evaluation [J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(3): 113-125.
[9]	Junjie KANG, Chunyang ZHAO, Guopeng ZHOU, Liang ZHAO. A Layout Evaluation Method for Source-Network-Load-Storage and Multi-energy Complementary Projects Based on Entropy Weight and Delphi Method [J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(12): 120-131.
[10]	Shilong LI, Longjiang LI, Xinbo LIU, Hua ZHANG. Linear Active Disturbance Rejection Control Parameter Tuning Method for Energy Storage Converter with Enhanced Stability [J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(10): 25-35.
[11]	Mengfei XIE, Gaoquan MA, Bin LIU, Zhenning PAN, Yunfeng SHANG. Virtual Power Plant Quotation Strategy Based on Information Gap Decision Theory [J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(1): 40-50.
[12]	HU Jing, HUANG Bibin, MENG Zihan, LI Nana, JI Zhe. Research on Alternative Effect Evaluation and Policy Mechanisms of Grid-Side Functional Alternative Energy Storage [J]. Electric Power, 2023, 56(8): 10-16.
[13]	ZHANG Xiaokun, LV Dawei, YIN Zhongqiang, SHEN Shuanglin, WANG Shaorong. Temperature Distribution in Planer Solid Oxide Fuel Cell [J]. Electric Power, 2023, 56(6): 123-131.
[14]	WANG Jinli, LI Fengsheng, XIE Fang, ZHANG Yao, TIAN Ye. Research on Technical Standard System of New Distribution System Under Double-Carbon Strategy [J]. Electric Power, 2023, 56(5): 22-31.
[15]	LUO Haoze, CHEN Zhong, YANG Wei, XIE Jia, HU Di, GUAN Weiping. Review on Failure Mode and Mechanism of Press-Pack IGBT and Thyristor Devices [J]. Electric Power, 2023, 56(5): 137-152.