Electric Power ›› 2021, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (6): 95-103.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202101090

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Wind Turbine Generator Winding Temperature Prediction Based on XGBoost and LSTM

TENG Wei1, HUANG Yike1, WU Shiming2, LIU Yibing1   

  1. 1. Key Laboratory of Power Station Energy Transfer Conversion and System, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China;
    2. Beijing Envada Software Engineering Co., Ltd., Beijing 100086, China
  • Received:2021-01-18 Revised:2021-02-18 Published:2021-06-05
  • Supported by:
    This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.51775186) and Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.2018MS013)

Abstract: Generator stator winding temperature is a significant representation of the health status of wind turbines. Accurate prediction of winding overheating can help us timely formulate operation and maintenance plan and find out the fault source. A combined model is proposed to predict the stator winding temperature of wind turbines based on the weighted fusion of XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting) and LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory), and the difference in model structure between the two methods is used to improve the accuracy of the fusion prediction results. The SCADA data from on-site wind farm verifies that the proposed combined model can effectively predict the winding overheating, which is of great use for further engineering application.

Key words: wind turbine, winding temperature prediction, XGBoost, LSTM