Electric Power ›› 2020, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (7): 1-6.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202004057

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Relationship between Electricity Elasticity Coefficient and Industrialization Stage in China

SHAN Baoguo1,2, ZHANG Chenglong1, WANG Xiang1, YAO Li1, LIU Qing1, TAN Xiandong1   

  1. 1. State Grid Energy Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, China;
    2. MOE Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Systems Optimization, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
  • Received:2020-04-09 Revised:2020-05-20 Online:2020-07-05 Published:2020-07-05
  • Supported by:
    This work is supported by the Science and Technology Project of SGCC (Research and Application of Energy and Power Demand Forecasting Technology based on "Two Step" Strategy in the New Era, No.52130N18001G)

Abstract: The electricity elasticity coefficient is an index used to express the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth. This paper studies the relationship between the electricity elasticity coefficient and industrialization process, which will have practical significance. The main conclusions of this study are that in the middle stage of industrialization, the electricity elasticity coefficient in various regions is generally high, and then it decreases obviously; the electricity elasticity coefficient in the provinces where the industry ratio is significant is relatively high. During the Fourteenth Five-Year Plan period (2021~2025), China will achieve high-quality economic development, and the electricity demand will maintain a moderate speed of growth with the national electricity elasticity coefficient of about 0.8, which is consistent with the later stage of China's industrialization.

Key words: electricity elasticity coefficient, industrialization stage, provincial region, industry ratio, electricity demand