The Application of Electricity Elasticity Coefficient During Economic Transition Period

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201709001

Electric Power ›› 2017, Vol. 50 ›› Issue (12): 1-4.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201709001

• Electricity and Economy • Next Articles

The Application of Electricity Elasticity Coefficient During Economic Transition Period

SHAN Baoguo, LI Jiangtao, TAN Xiandong, SHAN Baoping

1. MOE Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Systems Optimization, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206,China;
2. State Grid Energy Research Institute Co.,Ltd., Beijing 102209,China;
3. State Grid Zhucheng Power Supply Company, Zhucheng 262200, China

Received:2017-09-01 Online:2017-12-20 Published:2018-01-30
Supported by:
This work is supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China (No. 2016YFB0900100) and the Science and Technology Project of SGCC (No. XM2017020034761).

Abstract

Abstract: Based on an analysis of the variation of China’s electricity elasticity coefficient since 1978, this paper elaborates the reasons for the large variation of China’s electricity elasticity coefficient in the short term, and finds out the long-term pattern of the variation. Through comparison with the developed countries’ experience in electricity elasticity coefficient variation, a method is proposed for the application of electricity elasticity coefficient during economic transition period, and a check is made on the power demand forecasting for the 13th, 14th and 15th Five-Year Periods (2016–2020, 2021–2025 and 2026–2030, respectively).

Key words: electricity elasticity coefficient, economic and social development, electricity consumption growth, power demand forecasting

CLC Number:

TM715

SHAN Baoguo, LI Jiangtao, TAN Xiandong, SHAN Baoping. The Application of Electricity Elasticity Coefficient During Economic Transition Period[J]. Electric Power, 2017, 50(12): 1-4.

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The Application of Electricity Elasticity Coefficient During Economic Transition Period

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