New Algorithm of Forest Fire Spread Simulation Based on Cellular Automata and Power Line Fault Probability Calculation

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201801158

Abstract

Abstract: Forest fire has been one of the important reasons for the transmission line outrage. Current cellular automata model for the simulating forest fire spread doesn't consider different spread scenarios of neighbor cells, resulting in low simulation accuracy and low accuracy of failure probability of power lines under mountain fire disaster condition. In this paper, A new forest fire spread simulation algorithm is proposed, considering overlapping area of adjacent neighbor cells spreading area and adjacent neighbor cell spreading area. Based on the area, the new method of calculating the power line failure probability is further presented. The new algorithm takes into account overlapping area in different spread scenarios and puts forward the corresponding calculating method. Based on this, an improved conversion rule of cell states and corresponding new forest fire simulation algorithm are constructed, obtaining more accurate forest fire spread front and area. Furthermore, a new method for calculating the line fault probability is proposed, which can obtain the line fault probability caused by the more accurately. The example proves the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Key words: transmission line, trip, forest fire, cellular automata, overlapping area, simulation algorithm

CLC Number:

TM75

LIU Hui, LI Pengfei, LIN Jikeng, WANG Zhongyue. New Algorithm of Forest Fire Spread Simulation Based on Cellular Automata and Power Line Fault Probability Calculation[J]. Electric Power, 2019, 52(11): 85-93.

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URL: https://www.electricpower.com.cn/EN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201801158

https://www.electricpower.com.cn/EN/Y2019/V52/I11/85

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