中国电力 ›› 2014, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (8): 8-12.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2014.8.8.4

• 电网—状态估计与监测专栏 • 上一篇    下一篇

一种变压器状态评估中的状态量优选方法

姚森敬1, 文正其2, 张林1, 吕启深1   

  1. 1. 深圳供电局有限公司,广东 深圳 518000;
    2. 国网电力科学研究院,湖北 武汉 430074
  • 收稿日期:2014-04-18 出版日期:2014-08-18 发布日期:2015-12-10
  • 作者简介:姚森敬(1969—),男,广东潮州人,高级工程师,从事高电压技术领域相关工作。E-mail: sankyyao@163.com

A Selection Method of Optimal Criteria for Transformer Condition Assessment

YAO Sen-jing1, WEN Zheng-qi2, ZHANG Lin1, LYU Qi-shen1   

  1. 1. Shenzhen Power Supply Bureau Co., Ltd., Shenzhen 518000, China;
    2. State Grid Electric Power Research Institute, Wuhan 430074, China
  • Received:2014-04-18 Online:2014-08-18 Published:2015-12-10

摘要: 针对目前变压器状态评估的状态量选取大多基于经验而缺少一种综合衡量指标,导致状态评估模型在应用时缺少数据来源或难以反映设备的潜在故障等问题,提出了一种状态量优选方法。首先利用故障模式及影响分析技术,统计分析变压器常见故障模式,得到故障模式发生度、严酷度及检测方法等;其次利用层次分析法综合考虑故障模式各检测方法的敏感度、难检度、可靠度及成本因素,推导故障模式检测方法优先指数;再者建立状态评估状态量优选模型;最后以评估变压器机械性能、热性能的状态量优选为例验证该方法的可行性。实践证明该方法选取的状态量能有效反映设备状态,具备较好的工程推广价值。

关键词: 变压器, 状态评价, 状态量优选, 故障模式及影响分析, 层次分析法

Abstract: Currently, selection of criteria for transformer condition assessments is mostly based on experience without a comprehensive measure index, which makes condition assessment models lack of data or difficult to reflect potential failure in applications. Therefore, a novel selection method of criteria was presented. Firstly, the transformer common failure modes were analyzed by the failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA), and the occurrence and severity of failure modes and their detection methods were obtained. Secondly, the priority index of detection method was derived by using AHP, which considered the sensitivity, elusiveness, reliability and cost factors of each failure mode detection method. Thirdly, the model of selection optimal criteria was established. Finally, by selecting optimal criteria to evaluate the mechanical and thermal properties of a transformer, the feasibility of the method was verified, and the results show that the criteria selected by this method can effectively reflect the transformer condition. This method is proved to have good engineering values.

Key words: transformer, condition assessment, optimal criteria, FMEA, AHP

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