Electric Power ›› 2013, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (6): 103-107.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2013.6.103.4

• Power Planning • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Planning of Power Generation Systems Based on Violation Analysis of Clean Energy Resources Availabilities

HU Qing, HUANG Guo-he, LI Wei   

  1. MOE Key Laboratory of Regional Energy Systems Optimization, Resources and Environmental Research Academy,North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
  • Received:2013-01-12 Online:2013-06-05 Published:2015-12-15

Abstract: Reasonable plans for electric power generation systems are very critical for efficiency improvement in electric power industry. In this study, a lower-side-attainment-value-based inexact fuzzy chance-constraint programming model is developed to deal with the complexities and uncertainties in regional electric power generation system planning. Firstly, the model integrated the energy supply, conversion and consumption, the option, renovation and expansion of conversion technologies, the electricity generation and the pollutant mitigation into the planning frame, providing a foundation for optimized energy allocation. Secondly, based on probability(pi) levels, the violation of constraints on clean energy resource availabilities can be quantified, and the relationship between system costs and reliability can be reflected via the analysis on the solutions to energy supply, electricity generation, capacity expansion and emission mitigation under different pi levels, which is supportive to the security of generation side.

Key words: power generation, power, planning, emission mitigation, lower-side attainment value, chance-constraint, violation analysis

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