Analysis of Power System Paradigm Shift under Energy Revolution

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202311115

Abstract

Abstract:

The essence of scientific revolution is the paradigm shift, which can be applied to the energy revolution. Under the goals of "carbon peak and carbon neutralization", the essence of energy revolution is the shift of development paradigm, that is, the transformation and upgrading paradigm from low energy density to high energy density, and the energy utilization paradigm shift from low environmental protection to high environment protection. Under the paradigm shift of energy development, the traditional power system is gradually appearing a power system with high proportion of new energy, which is facing risks such as decrease in economy, stability and adequacy, and limited development space. However, the original development paradigm, namely intensive power source development, high-voltage power grid and synchronous grid expansion cannot reduce the risks. The original paradigm will fail and the rules will gradually slack. Driven by such development factors as distributed power generation, microgrid and large-capacity energy storage, the transformation of technological innovation mode will lead to the establishment of a new development paradigm. The power system established under the new development paradigm is the new power system.

Key words: scientific revolution, paradigm shift, new energy, new power system

Qinyong ZHOU, Genzhao LI, Xiaohui QIN, Haobo SHI, Wenjing CHEN, Haoyue GONG. Analysis of Power System Paradigm Shift under Energy Revolution[J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(3): 1-11.

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URL: https://www.electricpower.com.cn/EN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202311115

https://www.electricpower.com.cn/EN/Y2024/V57/I3/1

Figures/Tables 11

Fig.1 Proportion of primary energy in rapid transformation scenario

Table 1 Development history of thermal power units in China

时间	机组容量/ MW	电厂	备注
1958-08	12	重庆电厂
1958-12	25	上海闸北电厂
1959-11	50	辽宁电厂
1967-12	100	北京高井发电厂
1969-09	125	上海吴泾电厂	双水冷汽轮机
1972-12	200	朝阳电厂
1975	300	河南姚孟电厂	高参数大容量国产机组
1979-11	300	江苏望亭电厂	燃油机组
1985-03	600	安徽平圩电厂	国产化亚临界火电机组
2000-06	800	辽宁绥中电厂
2001-07	900	上海外高桥发电厂二期	单轴超临界燃煤机组
2004-10	600	河南沁北电厂	超临界机组国产化
2006-11	1000	浙江玉环电厂	超超临界发电机组
2021-04	1240	广东华厦阳西电厂二期	超超临界发电机组

Fig.2 Average coal consumption of thermal power in China (1978—2022)

Fig.3 History of AC voltage level upgradation

Fig.4 Schematic diagram of power system stability level and related factors

Fig.5 German energy transformation and household electricity prices

Fig.6 Cumulative curves of new energy generation output proportion

Fig.7 Relationship curve between scale and load of power system

Fig.8 Schematic diagram of hydrogen production system using new energy power generations

Fig.9 The three-layer structure of technology innovation in power system

Fig.10 Stability of power system with different proportions of new energy

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