Electric Power ›› 2022, Vol. 55 ›› Issue (10): 71-76.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202206097

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Short-Term Load Forecasting of Power System Based on VMD-CNN-BIGRU

YANG Huping1, YU Yang2, WANG Chao1, LI Xiangjun3, HU Yitao1, RAO Chuchu1   

  1. 1. School of Information Engineering, Nanchang University, Nanchang 330031, China;
    2. Zhaoqing Power Supply Bureau of Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Zhaoqing 526040 , China;
    3. School of Software, Nanchang University, Nanchang 330031, China
  • Received:2022-06-22 Revised:2022-09-02 Published:2022-10-20
  • Supported by:
    This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.61862042) and Science & Technology Project of State Grid Jiangxi Electric Power Co., Ltd. Nanchang Changbei Power Supply Branch (No.CX202105280048).

Abstract: In order to improve the accuracy of load prediction, taking into account the internal laws and external influencing factors of historical load itself, a kind of variational modal decomposition (VMD) -convolutional neural networks (CNN) -bi-directional gated recurrent units are proposed. BIGRU) short-term load prediction method for hybrid networks, improving training duration and prediction results. The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by simulation analysis, and the method has higher load prediction accuracy and stronger robustness than other models, which can improve the accuracy of short-term load prediction of power system.

Key words: short load forecasting, variational modal decomposition, convolutional neural network, bi-directional gated recurrent unit