自主投资运营模式下园区级源网荷储一体化项目经济性分析方法

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202502013

中国电力 ›› 2026, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (2): 61-70.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202502013

• “十五五”电力系统源网荷储协同规划运行关键技术 • 上一篇下一篇

自主投资运营模式下园区级源网荷储一体化项目经济性分析方法

吴丹曼(), 丁玉成(), 谢光龙, 靳晓凌

国网能源研究院有限公司，北京　102209

收稿日期:2025-02-10 修回日期:2025-11-14 发布日期:2026-03-04 出版日期:2026-02-28
作者简介:
吴丹曼（1996），女，通信作者，博士，工程师，从事电力系统形态、电网经济效益等研究，E-mail：569356342@qq.com
丁玉成（1990），男，博士，工程师，从事主配微协同运行、数智化转型、电网投资效益效率提升等领域研究，E-mail：675281777@qq.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助项目（52577084）；国家电网有限公司科技项目（农村场景下新型局域电力系统构建模式研究，5400-202355766A-3-5-YS）。

Economic analysis method for park-level source-grid-load-storage integration project under independent investment operation mode

WU Danman(), DING Yucheng(), XIE Guanglong, JIN Xiaoling

State Grid Energy Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, China

Received:2025-02-10 Revised:2025-11-14 Online:2026-03-04 Published:2026-02-28
Supported by:
This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (52577084), Science and Technological Project of SGCC (Research on the Construction Mode of a New Local Power System in Rural Scenarios, No.5400-202355766A-3-5-YS).

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

储能前期投资及其运行成本收益对园区级源网荷储一体化项目整体经济效益的影响至关重要。针对用户自主投资运营模式下的园区级一体化项目，提出了一种综合考虑储能运行效益的投资效益分析方法。首先，基于储能运行特性，针对园区储能典型日剩余光伏充放电量和峰谷套利电量构建量化模型；其次，给出园区各收益来源建模方法；然后，结合项目投资运行成本分析，提出考虑储能运营效益的综合投资收益分析模型；最后，基于山西省某综合园区项目算例验证了所提模型和方法的有效性。算例结果表明：考虑系统整体效益优化目标，内部电源以光伏为主时，项目源荷比宜选为2∶1~3∶1，储能配置占光伏装机容量的10%~25%。

关键词: 源网荷储一体化, 园区级, 投资收益, 成本分析, 储能

Abstract:

Given that the impact of initial investment in energy storage as well as its operational costs and revenues on the overall economic benefits of the integrated project are of vital importance, this paper proposes an investment benefit analysis method in which the operational profit of energy storage for park-level projects is taken into full consideration under the user's independent investment operation mode. Firstly, based on the operating characteristics of energy storage, quantitative models are constructed for typical-day residual photovoltaic (PV) charging/discharging volumes and peak-valley arbitrage electricity quantities in park-level energy storage. Secondly, models for various revenue sources within the project are presented. Then combined with the analysis of the investment and operating costs, a comprehensive investment return analysis model that accounts for the operating benefits of energy storage is proposed. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed model and methodology is validated through the case study of a comprehensive park project in Shanxi Province. Simulation results show that with the internal power source primarily photovoltaic, considering the optimization objective of the overall system benefit, the optimal source-to-load ratio for the project should fall within the range of 2∶1 to 3∶1, and the energy storage configuration should account for 10% to 25% of the total installed PV capacity.

Key words: source-grid-load-storage integration, park level, investment and benefit, cost analysis, energy storage

吴丹曼, 丁玉成, 谢光龙, 靳晓凌. 自主投资运营模式下园区级源网荷储一体化项目经济性分析方法[J]. 中国电力, 2026, 59(2): 61-70.

WU Danman, DING Yucheng, XIE Guanglong, JIN Xiaoling. Economic analysis method for park-level source-grid-load-storage integration project under independent investment operation mode[J]. Electric Power, 2026, 59(2): 61-70.

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图/表 14

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项目	数值	项目	数值
光伏单位组件价格/ (元·kW^–1)	1200	储能单位成本/ (元·(kW·h)^–1)	1500
光伏单位工程造价/ (元·kW^–1)	2000	储能单位施工成本/ (元·(kW·h)^–1)	200
光伏单位造价/(元·kW^–1)	3200	光伏单位运维成本/ (元·(kW·h)^–1)	50
		储能单位运维成本/ (元·(kW·h)^–1)	40

项目	数值	项目	数值
光伏单位组件价格/ (元·kW^–1)	1200	储能单位成本/ (元·(kW·h)^–1)	1500
光伏单位工程造价/ (元·kW^–1)	2000	储能单位施工成本/ (元·(kW·h)^–1)	200
光伏单位造价/(元·kW^–1)	3200	光伏单位运维成本/ (元·(kW·h)^–1)	50
		储能单位运维成本/ (元·(kW·h)^–1)	40

时段	夏季	冬季	其他季节
谷时段	0.318	0.318	0.318
平时段	0.519	0.519	0.519
峰时段	0.739	0.739	0.739
尖时段	0.857	0.857	0.857

时段	夏季	冬季	其他季节
谷时段	0.318	0.318	0.318
平时段	0.519	0.519	0.519
峰时段	0.739	0.739	0.739
尖时段	0.857	0.857	0.857

类型	收益
自发自用电量	29997262
峰谷套利	1598224
绿电	1116622

自主投资运营模式下园区级源网荷储一体化项目经济性分析方法

Economic analysis method for park-level source-grid-load-storage integration project under independent investment operation mode

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图/表 14

参考文献 30

相关文章 15

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Metrics

消纳率/ %	首年余电上网收益/元	项目成本回收年限/年	寿命年限总净收益/元
100	920 499	6.23	465 808 827
80	736 399	6.27	461 488 284
60	552 299	6.31	457 167 741

储能配比/ %	与电网交互电量占比/%	最短回收周期/ 年	最大总净收益/ 元
10	51.42	5.80	412 052 844
15	51.42	5.91	409 426 832
20	51.42	6.04	406 068 728
25	51.42	6.19	401 436 797
30	51.42	6.42	393 695 426
35	51.42	6.65	385 683 897
40	51.42	6.88	377 672 368
45	51.42	7.11	369 660 840
50	51.42	7.34	361 649 311

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[15]	袁振华, 张丽娜, 张玉跃, 田鑫, 王鹏, 杜尔顺. 考虑可变单位能量建设成本的储能规划方法[J]. 中国电力, 2025, 58(7): 187-196.

时段	夏季	冬季	其他季节
深谷时段	0.212	0.212	0.212
谷时段	0.312	0.312	0.312
平时段	0.662	0.662	0.662
峰时段	1.012	1.012	1.012
尖时段	1.162	1.162	1.162

时段	夏季	冬季	其他季节
深谷时段	0.212	0.212	0.212
谷时段	0.312	0.312	0.312
平时段	0.662	0.662	0.662
峰时段	1.012	1.012	1.012
尖时段	1.162	1.162	1.162

类型	收益
自发自用电量	28 681 069
峰谷套利	1 596 487
绿电	1 134 372

类型	收益
自发自用电量	28 681 069
峰谷套利	1 596 487
绿电	1 134 372

模态框（Modal）标题

自主投资运营模式下园区级源网荷储一体化项目经济性分析方法

Economic analysis method for park-level source-grid-load-storage integration project under independent investment operation mode

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