中国电力 ›› 2024, Vol. 57 ›› Issue (9): 80-93.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202308096

• 海上风电制氢技术经济、规划运行及政策机制 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于全生命周期经济评估的海上风电发展与思考

丰力1,2(), 张莲梅1,2(), 韦家佳1,2, 邓长虹1,2(), 李果3, 尹家悦3   

  1. 1. 交直流智能配电网湖北省工程中心(武汉大学),湖北 武汉 430072
    2. 武汉大学 电气与自动化学院,湖北 武汉 430072
    3. 南方电网科学研究院有限责任公司,广东 广州 510663
  • 收稿日期:2023-08-24 接受日期:2024-05-29 出版日期:2024-09-28 发布日期:2024-09-23
  • 作者简介:丰力(2000—),男,硕士研究生,从事新能源接入及电网智能控制研究,E-mail:fenganli57@whu.edu.cn
    张莲梅(1970—),女,通信作者,博士,副教授,从事电力系统规划、电力系统数字孪生研究,E-mail:lloottuuss@163.com
    邓长虹(1963—),女,博士,教授,从事大电网安全稳定分析及控制、新能源接入及电网智能控制研究,E-mail:dengch-whu@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    中国南方电网有限责任公司科技项目(ZDKJXM20210047)。

Development & Thinking of Offshore Wind Power Based on Life Cycle Economic Evaluation

Li FENG1,2(), Lianmei ZHANG1,2(), Jiajia WEI1,2, Changhong DENG1,2(), Guo LI3, Jiayue YIN3   

  1. 1. Hubei Engineering and Technology Research Center for AC/DC Intelligent Distribution Network (Wuhan University), Wuhan 430072, China
    2. School of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
    3. China Southern Power Grid Electric Power Research Institute Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510663, China
  • Received:2023-08-24 Accepted:2024-05-29 Online:2024-09-28 Published:2024-09-23
  • Supported by:
    This work is supported by Science and Technology Project of CSG (No.ZDKJXM20210047)

摘要:

现阶段对海上风电经济性评估研究较少,而海上风电亟需经济性评估作为其大面积应用的基础。立足海上风电项目的经济性,首先,梳理了海上风电场的组成及发展,分析目前海上风电的3类6种发展模式;接着,将海上风电项目全生命周期分为初始投资、运营维护及退役回收3个阶段,分析各阶段的成本并搭建其数学模型;然后,引入净现值等6个经济指标评价了一个海上风电案例;最后,归纳海上风电当前发展及研究的不足,指明未来的研究方向,为海上风电更经济化的发展提供支撑和参考。

关键词: 海上风电, 发展模式, 全生命周期成本, 经济性评估, 发展建议

Abstract:

At present, the research on economic evaluation of offshore wind power (OWP) is poor, while OWP urgently needs economic evaluation as the basis for its large-scale application. Based on the economy of OWP projects, this article firstly reviews the composition and development of offshore wind farms and analyzes 3 types and 6 development models of current OWP projects. Then the whole life cycle of OWP projects are divided into 3 stages, including initial investment, operation maintenance and retirement recovery, and the cost of each stage is analyzed and its respective mathematical model is established. Then, 6 economic indicators such as NPV are introduced to evaluate an OWP project for case study. Finally, the current progress and research deficiencies of OWP projects are summed up, which can provide a direction for future research and a support and reference for the more economical development of OWP.

Key words: offshore wind power, development model, life cycle cost, economic evaluation, development suggestion