计及能源政策的园区综合能源系统鲁棒随机优化模型

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202102068

中国电力 ›› 2022, Vol. 55 ›› Issue (11): 109-120.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202102068

计及能源政策的园区综合能源系统鲁棒随机优化模型

李鹏¹, 杨莘博², 魏澄宙¹, 张艺涵¹, 田春筝¹, 王世谦¹, 薛帆³, 谭忠富³

1. 国网河南省电力公司经济技术研究院，河南郑州 450000;
2. 北京工业大学经济与管理学院，北京 100124;
3. 华北电力大学经济与管理学院，北京 102206

收稿日期:2021-02-22 修回日期:2021-11-24 发布日期:2022-11-29
作者简介:李鹏（1985—），男，博士，高级经济师，从事农村能源转型、县域综合能源系统、能源互联网应用技术研究，E-mail：hdlp0830@163.com;杨莘博（1995—），女，通信作者，博士，讲师，从事综合能源系统、电力需求侧管理研究，E-mail：ysbo@ncepu.edu.cn;魏澄宙（1971—），女，硕士，正高级会计师，从事能源经济研究，E-mail：weichengzhou@qq.com;张艺涵（1993—），女，工程师，从事综合能源系统、协调优化关键技术研究，E-mail：zhangyihan@qq.com;田春筝（1982—），男，硕士，高级工程师（教授级），从事农村能源转型、县域综合能源系统研究，E-mail：tianchunzheng@qq.com;王世谦（1988—），男，硕士，高级工程师，从事农村能源转型、县域综合能源系统研究，E-mail：wangshiqian@qq.com;薛帆（1997—），男，硕士研究生，从事综合能源系统、电力市场与电力市场经济研究，E-mail：15601253133@163.com;谭忠富（1964—），男，教授，博士生导师，从事能源系统、电力市场与电力市场经济研究，E-mail：tzhf@ncepu.edu.cn
基金资助:
国家电网有限公司科技项目（1400-202024222A-0-0-00）。

Robust Stochastic Optimization Model of Park Integrated Energy System Considering Impact of Energy Policy

LI Peng¹, YANG Shenbo², WEI Chengzhou¹, ZHANG Yihan¹, TIAN Chunzheng¹, WANG Shiqian¹, XUE Fan³, TAN Zhongfu³

1. State Grid Henan Electric Power Company Economic and Technical Research Institute, Zhengzhou 450000, China;
2. School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China;
3. School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China

Received:2021-02-22 Revised:2021-11-24 Published:2022-11-29
Supported by:
This work is supported by Science and Technology Project of SGCC (No.1400-202024222A-0-0-00).

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 园区综合能源系统耦合冷热电气等多种清洁能源系统，是实现中国碳中和战略目标的重要途径之一，但由于内部清洁能源机组出力的不确定和内部供需的不匹配性，其稳定发展受到限制。首先在构建园区综合能源系统的基础上，构建综合价格型需求响应模型和能源政策模型，分析其对系统的影响；其次从供能侧构建基于鲁棒系数的清洁能源出力不确定性集，规避出力风险性，从需求侧构建综合价格需求响应模型，引导用能合理性，在此基础上进一步构建以园区综合能源系统净收益最大化为目标函数的优化模型；最后设置多情景，进行算例分析。结果表明：随着鲁棒系数的提高能够降低供能风险性和偏差惩罚成本；综合需求响应的实施能够提升供需匹配度，带来较好的经济和环境效益，实现用户与系统的双赢；在能源政策的助推下，在合理评估清洁能源出力风险性的基础上，需进一步提升清洁能源供能量。

关键词: 综合价格型需求响应, 绿色证书, 碳交易, 园区综合能源系统, 鲁棒随机优化

Abstract: The park integrated energy system is a system coupled with multiple clean energies such as cooling, heating, electricity and gas, and it is one of the important ways to achieve China’s carbon neutral strategy. However, due to the uncertainty of the output of internal clean energy units and the mismatch of internal supply and demand, the sustainable development of the park integrated energy system is restricted. Therefore, this paper firstly builds a comprehensive price-based demand response model and an energy policy model based on the construction of a park integrated energy system, and analyzes their impact on the system. Secondly, from the energy supply side, the uncertainty set of clean energy output is constructed based on robust coefficient to avoid output risk; and from the demand side, a comprehensive price demand response model is built to guide the rationality of energy use; On this basis, an optimization model is built with maximizing the net income of the park integrated energy system as the objective function. Finally, multiple scenarios are set up for case study. The results show that with the improvement of the robust coefficient, the risk of energy supply and the cost of deviation penalty can be reduced; the implementation of integrated demand response can improve the matching degree of supply and demand, bring better economic and environmental benefits, and achieve a win-win situation for users and the system; with the help of energy policies, on the basis of a reasonable assessment of the risk of clean energy output, it is necessary to further increase the supply of clean energy.

Key words: comprehensive price-based demand response, green certificate, carbon trading, park integrated energy system, robust stochastic optimization

李鹏, 杨莘博, 魏澄宙, 张艺涵, 田春筝, 王世谦, 薛帆, 谭忠富. 计及能源政策的园区综合能源系统鲁棒随机优化模型[J]. 中国电力, 2022, 55(11): 109-120.

LI Peng, YANG Shenbo, WEI Chengzhou, ZHANG Yihan, TIAN Chunzheng, WANG Shiqian, XUE Fan, TAN Zhongfu. Robust Stochastic Optimization Model of Park Integrated Energy System Considering Impact of Energy Policy[J]. Electric Power, 2022, 55(11): 109-120.

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计及能源政策的园区综合能源系统鲁棒随机优化模型

Robust Stochastic Optimization Model of Park Integrated Energy System Considering Impact of Energy Policy

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计及能源政策的园区综合能源系统鲁棒随机优化模型

Robust Stochastic Optimization Model of Park Integrated Energy System Considering Impact of Energy Policy

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