强台风环境下配电线路故障概率评估方法

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201803213

中国电力 ›› 2019, Vol. 52 ›› Issue (5): 89-95.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201803213

强台风环境下配电线路故障概率评估方法

陈彬^1,2, 于继来¹

1. 哈尔滨工业大学电气工程系, 黑龙江哈尔滨 150001;
2. 国网福建省电力有限公司电力科学研究院, 福建福州 350001

收稿日期:2018-04-04 修回日期:2018-09-18 出版日期:2019-05-05 发布日期:2019-05-14
作者简介:陈彬(1982-),男,博士研究生,高级工程师,从事配电网灾害与防治等研究,E-mail:cb_fz@163.com;于继来(1965-),男,博士,教授,从事电力系统分析与控制方面的研究,E-mail:yupwrs@hit.edu.cn
基金资助:
国家电网有限公司科技项目（强台风环境配电网风涝灾害预警及应急复电关键技术研究与示范应用，l521304170026）。

Outage Probability Evaluation of the Distribution Corridors Under Strong Typhoon Environment

CHEN Bin^1,2, YU Jilai¹

1. School of Electric Engineering & Automation, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, China;
2. State Grid Fujian Electrical Power Research Institute, Fuzhou 350001, China

Received:2018-04-04 Revised:2018-09-18 Online:2019-05-05 Published:2019-05-14
Supported by:
This work is supported by Science and Technology Project of SGCC (Key Technology Research and Demonstration Application of Early Flood Warning and Emergency Retransmission in Distribution Network under Strong Typhoon Environment, No.521304170026).

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 针对强台风环境下配电线路故障问题，提出了一种台风到来前配电线路故障概率评估方法。首先，根据历史灾害损失数据拟合强台风环境下的杆塔故障概率曲线；其次，利用流体力学软件对配电网所在区域进行风荷载仿真计算；最后，在真实台风环境下根据台风实时气象信息计算配电网所在区域的风荷载，并计算配电线路整体故障概率。算例验证了强台风环境下该方法对配电网线路故障概率评估的合理性和实用性，该方法可为中国东南沿海配电网台风期间应急预警及防灾减灾工作提供借鉴参考。

关键词: 配电网, 热带气旋, 流体力学, 故障概率, 评估方法, 配电网保护

Abstract: An outage probability evaluation method of distribution line under typhoon is proposed in this paper. First, the probability curve of the tower fault of the 10 kV distribution line is fitted according to the historical typical typhoon data. Secondly, the wind load in the area of the distribution network is simulated by the hydrodynamics software. Finally, based on the wind load calculated from the real-time meteorological information under real typhoon environment, the overall failure probability of the distribution lines are calculated. The simulation results verify the rationality and practicability of the method for the probability evaluation of the distribution network fault in the strong typhoon environment. The method can be used as a reference for emergency warning and disaster prevention of distribution network in southeastern coastal areas of China during typhoons.

Key words: distribution network, tropical cyclone, fluid mechanics, outage probability, evaluation method, distribution network protection

中图分类号:

TM752⁺.5

陈彬, 于继来. 强台风环境下配电线路故障概率评估方法[J]. 中国电力, 2019, 52(5): 89-95.

CHEN Bin, YU Jilai. Outage Probability Evaluation of the Distribution Corridors Under Strong Typhoon Environment[J]. Electric Power, 2019, 52(5): 89-95.

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https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/Y2019/V52/I5/89

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强台风环境下配电线路故障概率评估方法

Outage Probability Evaluation of the Distribution Corridors Under Strong Typhoon Environment

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强台风环境下配电线路故障概率评估方法

Outage Probability Evaluation of the Distribution Corridors Under Strong Typhoon Environment

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