Research on the Optimal Configuration Method of New Energy and Flexible Regulation Resources Considering Carbon Emission Constraint

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202303046

Abstract

Abstract:

In the goal of the "Dual Carbon", with the rapid increase of the installed capacity of new energy, the demand for system regulation resources is also growing fast. Hence the coordination and optimization of the new energy and regulation resources is getting more attentions in building a new-type power system with high quality. This paper constructs an optimization model for new energy and regulation resources development with the objective of minimizing investment cost of additional units and operating cost of the system subject to carbon emission constraint and other constraints. Multiple development scenarios are set up with respect to different utilization rates of the new energy, and the operational economics of power system under each scenario are studied. Considering the carbon emission reduction target will be established and assessed for each province individually in the future, a provincial power grid in central China is taken as an example to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model, and research results and conclusions are provided at the end of paper.

Key words: carbon emission constraint, new energy, regulation resources, optimal configuration model

Hujun LI, Dong ZHANG, Mengxuan LV, Fangzhao DENG, Meng YANG, Bo YUAN. Research on the Optimal Configuration Method of New Energy and Flexible Regulation Resources Considering Carbon Emission Constraint[J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(4): 42-51.

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URL: https://www.electricpower.com.cn/EN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202303046

https://www.electricpower.com.cn/EN/Y2024/V57/I4/42

Figures/Tables 16

References 23

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典型时刻	新能源	97%概率保证出力系数	95%概率保证出力系数	90%概率保证出力系数	85%概率保证出力系数	80%概率保证出力系数
夏季午高峰	风电	0.70	1.00	1.70	2.50	3.30
夏季午高峰	光伏	34.60	35.10	36.00	37.30	38.20
夏季晚高峰	风电	9.70	10.60	11.80	12.70	13.90
夏季晚高峰	光伏	0	0	0	0	0
夏季午高峰	风电	1.70	1.90	2.40	3.00	3.90
夏季午高峰	光伏	1.90	3.00	4.80	6.30	7.80
夏季晚高峰	风电	2.00	2.50	3.40	4.40	5.50
夏季晚高峰	光伏	0	0	0	0	0

典型时刻	新能源	97%概率保证出力系数	95%概率保证出力系数	90%概率保证出力系数	85%概率保证出力系数	80%概率保证出力系数
夏季午高峰	风电	0.70	1.00	1.70	2.50	3.30
夏季午高峰	光伏	34.60	35.10	36.00	37.30	38.20
夏季晚高峰	风电	9.70	10.60	11.80	12.70	13.90
夏季晚高峰	光伏	0	0	0	0	0
夏季午高峰	风电	1.70	1.90	2.40	3.00	3.90
夏季午高峰	光伏	1.90	3.00	4.80	6.30	7.80
夏季晚高峰	风电	2.00	2.50	3.40	4.40	5.50
夏季晚高峰	光伏	0	0	0	0	0

场景	灵活性资源配置	十四五/ 万kW	十五五/ 万kW	十六五/ 万kW
1	灵活性改造	2000	2000	1000
	抽水蓄能	120	550	550
	电化学储能	300	400	500
	需求侧响应	0	51	90
2	灵活性改造	2500	2500	0
	抽水蓄能	180	720	600
	电化学储能	400	500	600
	需求侧响应	0	68	120
3	灵活性改造	2500	2500	0
	抽水蓄能	240	790	720
	电化学储能	500	600	700
	需求侧响应	0	85	150

场景	灵活性资源配置	十四五/ 万kW	十五五/ 万kW	十六五/ 万kW
1	灵活性改造	2000	2000	1000
	抽水蓄能	120	550	550
	电化学储能	300	400	500
	需求侧响应	0	51	90
2	灵活性改造	2500	2500	0
	抽水蓄能	180	720	600
	电化学储能	400	500	600
	需求侧响应	0	68	120
3	灵活性改造	2500	2500	0
	抽水蓄能	240	790	720
	电化学储能	500	600	700
	需求侧响应	0	85	150

新能源利用指标	2025年		2030年
新能源利用指标	方案值	预期目标	方案值	预期目标
可再生能源电力消纳权重	37	32.2	45	40.0
非水可再生能源电力消纳权重	29	25.9	38	33.2