Electric Power ›› 2013, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (11): 105-108.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2013.11.105.3

• New Energy • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Parameter Optimization of SVM Based on Improved PSO and Its Application in Wind Speed Predictions

ZHU Xiao-yan, ZHANG Jin-hui, FU Shi-peng, ZHU Xiao-xun   

  1. School of Mechanical Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, China
  • Received:2013-07-23 Online:2013-11-23 Published:2015-12-10

Abstract: For accurate prediction of short-term wind speeds in a wind farm, a new SVM (support vector machine) predicting method based on improved PSO(particle swarm optimization) is proposed, which is designed to improve the self-learning ability and social learning ability of the particle swarm algorithm by bettering its learning factors, consequently making the PSO more conducive to converge to the global optimal solution and to find a better and more accurate parameter values to minimize the error of support vector machine prediction. The testing results show that compared with the conventional PSO-SVM and SVM prediction, the improved PSO-SVM method is more accurate in prediction result and has lower errors.

Key words: improved PSO, SVM, parameter selection, wind speed forecasting

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