Electric Power ›› 2026, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (6): 24-36.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202602036
• Intelligence, Green, Resilience: Technology and Market Integration for the New Electricity System Toward 2035 • Previous Articles Next Articles
ZHANG Fuchun1(
), CHEN Wenjun1(
), ZENG Tianze2(
), LIU Nian3, GUO Hongzhen1, LIU Dunnan1, WANG Peng4, XU Chuanbo1(
)
Received:2026-02-24
Revised:2026-06-02
Online:2026-06-22
Published:2026-06-28
Supported by:ZHANG Fuchun, CHEN Wenjun, ZENG Tianze, LIU Nian, GUO Hongzhen, LIU Dunnan, WANG Peng, XU Chuanbo. Deep reinforcement learning-driven decision-making paradigm for electricity-carbon-hydrogen collaboration[J]. Electric Power, 2026, 59(6): 24-36.
| 复杂性 | 具体表现 | 对传统模型的挑战 | 对决策范式的影响 |
| 多能源耦合 | 电能流、氢能流与碳排放流在统一系统内相互耦合 | 难以在单一优化模型中完整刻画 | 决策需同时考虑跨能源影响,更适合策略层面统一协调 |
| 多时间尺度嵌套 | 电力调度(分钟-小时)、氢能储运(日-季节)、碳履约(年度)并存 | 静态或单周期优化难以反映跨期约束与长期影响 | 决策从单周期最优转向跨期策略演化 |
| 强不确定性 | 新能源出力、负荷、电价、碳价及政策预期高度不确定且非平稳 | 依赖概率分布或场景假设的模型鲁棒性不足 | 需要具备在线学习与自适应能力的决策方法 |
| 多主体博弈 | 发电主体、制氢主体、用能主体及监管机构目标不一致 | 集中式优化难以刻画主体间策略互动 | 决策对象由系统最优解转向主体行为规则 |
| 多目标内在冲突 | 经济性、低碳性与安全性难以同时最优,权重随环境变化 | 固定权重目标函数难以适配动态偏好 | 决策更关注长期综合回报而非瞬时最优 |
| 规则与环境演化 | 电力与碳市场规则、补贴与政策边界持续调整 | 模型频繁失配,需要反复重构与求解 | 决策范式由模型驱动转向交互驱动 |
| 高维状态空间 | 系统状态包含能量流、价格、配额等多维信息 | 状态空间维度灾难,求解效率受限 | 需要具备高维表征能力的决策方法 |
Table 1 Complexity features of the power–carbon–hydrogen system and their impacts on decision-making
| 复杂性 | 具体表现 | 对传统模型的挑战 | 对决策范式的影响 |
| 多能源耦合 | 电能流、氢能流与碳排放流在统一系统内相互耦合 | 难以在单一优化模型中完整刻画 | 决策需同时考虑跨能源影响,更适合策略层面统一协调 |
| 多时间尺度嵌套 | 电力调度(分钟-小时)、氢能储运(日-季节)、碳履约(年度)并存 | 静态或单周期优化难以反映跨期约束与长期影响 | 决策从单周期最优转向跨期策略演化 |
| 强不确定性 | 新能源出力、负荷、电价、碳价及政策预期高度不确定且非平稳 | 依赖概率分布或场景假设的模型鲁棒性不足 | 需要具备在线学习与自适应能力的决策方法 |
| 多主体博弈 | 发电主体、制氢主体、用能主体及监管机构目标不一致 | 集中式优化难以刻画主体间策略互动 | 决策对象由系统最优解转向主体行为规则 |
| 多目标内在冲突 | 经济性、低碳性与安全性难以同时最优,权重随环境变化 | 固定权重目标函数难以适配动态偏好 | 决策更关注长期综合回报而非瞬时最优 |
| 规则与环境演化 | 电力与碳市场规则、补贴与政策边界持续调整 | 模型频繁失配,需要反复重构与求解 | 决策范式由模型驱动转向交互驱动 |
| 高维状态空间 | 系统状态包含能量流、价格、配额等多维信息 | 状态空间维度灾难,求解效率受限 | 需要具备高维表征能力的决策方法 |
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