Electric Power ›› 2012, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (2): 64-68.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2012.2.64.4

• New Energy • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Forecasting system based on numerical weather prediction

LI Hong-tao, MA Zhi-yong, RUI Xiao-ming   

  1. School of Energy and Power Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
  • Received:2011-10-18 Online:2016-02-29 Published:2012-02-18

Abstract: Along with the rapid development of wind power industry in the world, the integation of large number of wind turbines with high capacity to high voltage transmission networks is a great challenge for grid operation security and power supply quality. Wind power forecasting systems are needed for wind turbine power generation. A hybrid wind power forecasting system is proposed based on numerical weather prediction and artificial neural networks. By using historical wind speed and direction data as inputs, self-organizing maps model as the pretreatment model and radial basis function network model as the forecasting model, the forecasting system was used in a wind farm in Hebei province with the correction by historical outputs of a specific wind turbine or wind power generation field. The prediction results are acceptable, which shows the feasibility of proposed model.

Key words: wind power prediction, artificial neural network, numerical weather prediction

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