Abstract: As an underdeveloped province in the west, Sichuan is now confronted with the dual task of speeding up and improving the quality of economic development. Entering the 2nd decade of the China′s Western Development Program, the economic development and power demand of Sichuan province will maintain at a fairly high growth rate. Using the Relative Unit Consumption Method, the paper analyzes the major factors influencing the electrical loads such as the economic growth rate, the proportion of three industries and the energy consumption for unit GDP production. On this basis, Sichuan′s electric demands in 2015 and 2020 are forecasted and valuable conclusions are reached.

Key words: power load forecasting, unit consumption method, electric elasticity coefficient, gross domestic product(GDP), proportion of three industries