中国电力 ›› 2025, Vol. 58 ›› Issue (12): 27-36, 49.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202506001
• 协同海量分布式灵活性资源的韧性城市能源系统关键技术 • 上一篇
刘起兴1(
), 雷傲宇1, 翟哲1(
), 李家璐1, 陈亦平2, 吴炜民3(
), 雷顺波3(
)
收稿日期:2025-06-03
修回日期:2025-11-14
发布日期:2025-12-27
出版日期:2025-12-28
作者简介:基金资助:
LIU Qixing1(
), LEI Aoyu1, ZHAI Zhe1(
), LI Jialu1, CHEN Yiping2, WU Weimin3(
), LEI Shunbo3(
)
Received:2025-06-03
Revised:2025-11-14
Online:2025-12-27
Published:2025-12-28
Supported by:摘要:
随着极端天气事件频发和分布式能源的大规模接入,电网的运行环境日益复杂,提升电网韧性成为保障社会正常运行的关键。针对传统韧性评估方法对源荷参数依赖性强、难以应对实际工程中数据不确定性等问题,提出了一种融合拓扑结构参数与自适应层次分析法的电网韧性评价方法。引入“最大根节点覆盖半径”指标,结合介数中心性、接近中心性等结构特征,全面反映电网在多机组黑启动恢复条件下的脆弱环节和整体协同能力。通过数据驱动的权重优化与分类阈值联合调整,提升了模型的透明性、可解释性和分类准确性。仿真结果表明,所提方法能够在缺乏详细源荷参数的情况下,有效评估不同黑启动资源配置方案对电网韧性的影响。
刘起兴, 雷傲宇, 翟哲, 李家璐, 陈亦平, 吴炜民, 雷顺波. 基于拓扑特征提取的电网结构韧性评估方法[J]. 中国电力, 2025, 58(12): 27-36, 49.
LIU Qixing, LEI Aoyu, ZHAI Zhe, LI Jialu, CHEN Yiping, WU Weimin, LEI Shunbo. An Assessment Method for Power Grid Structural Resilience Based on Topological Feature Extraction[J]. Electric Power, 2025, 58(12): 27-36, 49.
| 结构参数 | Pearson相关系数 | Pearson p值 | Spearman相关系数 | Spearman p值 | Logistic系数 | Logisticp值 | t检验t值 | t检验p值 | ||||||||
| –0.997 | 6.61×10–7 | –1.000 | 0.000 | –0.370 | 0.053 | –0.989 | 0.325 | |||||||||
| –0.305 | 0.506 | –0.384 | 0.390 | –0.067 | NaN | –9.101 | 4.06×10–15 | |||||||||
| –0.305 | 0.506 | –0.380 | 0.393 | –0.110 | NaN | –9.101 | 4.06×10–15 |
表 1 结构参数与黑启动成功率统计分析
Table 1 Statistical analysis of structural parameters and black start success rate
| 结构参数 | Pearson相关系数 | Pearson p值 | Spearman相关系数 | Spearman p值 | Logistic系数 | Logisticp值 | t检验t值 | t检验p值 | ||||||||
| –0.997 | 6.61×10–7 | –1.000 | 0.000 | –0.370 | 0.053 | –0.989 | 0.325 | |||||||||
| –0.305 | 0.506 | –0.384 | 0.390 | –0.067 | NaN | –9.101 | 4.06×10–15 | |||||||||
| –0.305 | 0.506 | –0.380 | 0.393 | –0.110 | NaN | –9.101 | 4.06×10–15 |
| 系统 | 准确率/% | 迁移率/% | ||
| RTS-24 | 78.70 | 71.30 | ||
| IEEE-14 | 75.10 | 70.10 | ||
| IEEE-30 | 79.50 | 72.90 | ||
| IEEE-57 | 82.30 | 72.40 | ||
| IEEE-118 | 85.10 | 76.80 |
表 2 A-AHP方法普适性分析
Table 2 Universality analysis of the A-AHP method
| 系统 | 准确率/% | 迁移率/% | ||
| RTS-24 | 78.70 | 71.30 | ||
| IEEE-14 | 75.10 | 70.10 | ||
| IEEE-30 | 79.50 | 72.90 | ||
| IEEE-57 | 82.30 | 72.40 | ||
| IEEE-118 | 85.10 | 76.80 |
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