中国“十三五”新能源并网消纳形势、对策研究及多情景运行模拟分析

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201711237

中国电力 ›› 2018, Vol. 51 ›› Issue (1): 2-9.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201711237

• 高比例可再生能源并网及消纳技术专栏 • 上一篇下一篇

中国“十三五”新能源并网消纳形势、对策研究及多情景运行模拟分析

张正陵

国家电网公司, 北京 100031

收稿日期:2017-10-12 出版日期:2018-01-05 发布日期:2018-02-28
作者简介:张正陵(1963—),男,湖北天门人,硕士,高级工程师(教授级),从事能源电力及电网规划研究工作,E-mail:zhengling-zhang@sgcc.com.cn。
基金资助:
国家电网公司科技项目(SGSNKY00KJJS1600289)。

Research on Situation and Countermeasures of New Energy Integration in the 13th Five-Year Plan Period and Its Multi-Scenario Simulation

ZHANG Zhengling

State Grid Corporation of China, Beijing 100031, China

Received:2017-10-12 Online:2018-01-05 Published:2018-02-28
Supported by:
This work is supported by Science and Technology Project of State Grid Corporation of China (No.SGSNKY00KJJS1600289).

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 近年来，随着新能源快速发展，中国局部地区消纳形势严峻，在深入分析中国新能源并网消纳现况及存在主要问题基础上，从电源侧、电网侧、负荷侧以及市场机制设计等4个方面，研究提出“十三五”促进中国新能源大规模开发和消纳的关键举措。通过时序生产模拟方法，对2020年新能源消纳能力进行多情景分析，研究各项措施对提高新能源消纳能力的贡献程度，分析实现新能源消纳目标存在的不确定性，提出通过推动相关各方共同努力促进新能源消纳的重点措施，力争到2020年将弃风弃光率控制在5%以内的合理范围。

关键词: 新能源, 消纳, 弃风, 弃光, 时序生产模拟法

Abstract: With the rapid development of new energy generation, the consumption of new energy has been faced with severe situation in partial areas in China recently. In this study, key initiatives have been put forward to promote large-scale new energy domestic consumption in the 13th Five-Year Plan period through the design of power supply side, grid side, load side and market mechanism based on in-depth analysis of present status and principal problem of new energy consumption in China. Through multi-scenario analysis and time-sequential power system production simulation of new energy consumptive ability, contributions of different measures to possible consumption improvement are analyzed. Existing uncertainty in new energy consumption is also analyzed. Key initiatives for promoting joint efforts of all parties are proposed to stimulate consumption, aiming at keeping wind and photovoltaic power curtailment within 5% boundary.

Key words: new energy, energy consumption, wind power curtailment, photovoltaic power curtailment, time-sequential power system production simulation

中图分类号:

TM732

张正陵. 中国“十三五”新能源并网消纳形势、对策研究及多情景运行模拟分析[J]. 中国电力, 2018, 51(1): 2-9.

ZHANG Zhengling. Research on Situation and Countermeasures of New Energy Integration in the 13th Five-Year Plan Period and Its Multi-Scenario Simulation[J]. Electric Power, 2018, 51(1): 2-9.

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https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/Y2018/V51/I1/2

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中国“十三五”新能源并网消纳形势、对策研究及多情景运行模拟分析

Research on Situation and Countermeasures of New Energy Integration in the 13th Five-Year Plan Period and Its Multi-Scenario Simulation

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中国“十三五”新能源并网消纳形势、对策研究及多情景运行模拟分析

Research on Situation and Countermeasures of New Energy Integration in the 13th Five-Year Plan Period and Its Multi-Scenario Simulation

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