基于组合赋权及扇形雷达图法的电网公司月度运营预警模型

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2016.09.119.06

中国电力 ›› 2016, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (9): 119-124.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2016.09.119.06

基于组合赋权及扇形雷达图法的电网公司月度运营预警模型

赵会茹¹, 李娜娜¹, 邢金峰²

1. 华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京 102206;
2. 国网河北省电力公司,河北石家庄 050000

收稿日期:2016-02-25 出版日期:2016-09-10 发布日期:2016-09-28
作者简介:赵会茹（1963—）,女,河北石家庄人,博士,教授,从事技术经济及管理,能源管理研究。E-mail: huiruzhao@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助项目（71373076）

Monthly Operation Warning Model of Power Grid Corporation Based on Combination Weighting and Fan Radar Chart

ZHAO Huiru¹, LI Nana¹, XING Jinfeng²

1. School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China;
2. Hebei Electric Power Company, Shijiazhuang 050000, China

Received:2016-02-25 Online:2016-09-10 Published:2016-09-28
Supported by:
This work is supported by National Natural Sciance Foundation of China (No; 71373076)

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为提升电网公司运营风险的防控能力,有必要对关键的运营指标进行预警分析。在电网公司现行运营监测体系的基础上,筛选出月度运营分析的关键指标进行分析。为实现电网运营状态科学直观地预警,提出了基于主客观赋权和改进扇形雷达图法的月度运营分析预警模型,通过引入参考样本,克服传统模型无法区分优劣预警等级的问题。最后,以A省电网公司为例,对其2014年1—10月的运营状况进行预警分析,分析结果直观有效地区分不同月份运营状况所属预警区间,同时验证了模型的可行性、直观性和科学性。

关键词: 运营预警, 运营分析, 组合赋权法, 扇形雷达图法

Abstract: In order to improve operation warning of power grid corporation, it is essential to analyze key operation indicators. The key factors affecting operation warning analysis are selected from operation monitoring system of power grid corporation. The combination weighting method is applied to determine index weights. An operational analysis warning model based on an improved fan radar chart is proposed, and four reference samples are introduced to intuitively reflect the warning level. Taking a provincial corporation as an example, the operational status between January and October in 2014 are analyzed in detail. The results verify feasibility of proposed method.

Key words: operation warning, combination weighting method, fan radar chart

中图分类号:

TM715

赵会茹, 李娜娜, 邢金峰. 基于组合赋权及扇形雷达图法的电网公司月度运营预警模型[J]. 中国电力, 2016, 49(9): 119-124.

ZHAO Huiru, LI Nana, XING Jinfeng. Monthly Operation Warning Model of Power Grid Corporation Based on Combination Weighting and Fan Radar Chart[J]. Electric Power, 2016, 49(9): 119-124.

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https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/Y2016/V49/I9/119

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基于组合赋权及扇形雷达图法的电网公司月度运营预警模型

Monthly Operation Warning Model of Power Grid Corporation Based on Combination Weighting and Fan Radar Chart

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基于组合赋权及扇形雷达图法的电网公司月度运营预警模型

Monthly Operation Warning Model of Power Grid Corporation Based on Combination Weighting and Fan Radar Chart

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