中国电力 ›› 2026, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (3): 125-133.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202505079
蒋达飞1(
), 艾洪克1(
), 孟巧1(
), 董彪1(
), 翁一帆2(
), 张谦2(
)
收稿日期:2025-05-28
修回日期:2025-12-16
发布日期:2026-03-16
出版日期:2026-03-28
作者简介:蒋达飞(1987),男,硕士,高级工程师,从事新型电力系统规划研究,E-mail:jdf8020@163.com基金资助:
JIANG Dafei1(
), AI Hongke1(
), MENG Qiao1(
), DONG Biao1(
), WENG Yifan2(
), ZHANG Qian2(
)
Received:2025-05-28
Revised:2025-12-16
Online:2026-03-16
Published:2026-03-28
Supported by:摘要:
新型电力系统高压配电网面临规模化、多元化负荷接入的挑战。变电站负荷聚类是精准识别用户用电规律、优化电网资源配置的核心手段,其分析结果可直接支撑电网规划、需求侧管理及新能源消纳策略制定。因此亟须通过变电站负荷曲线聚类分析,精准解析差异化负荷模式及其动态演化规律,为智能配电网运行决策提供数据支撑。针对迭代式自组织数据分析算法(iterative self organizing data analysis techniques algorithm,ISODATA)存在收敛速度慢和难以捕捉数据高维特征的局限,尤其是负荷数据的动态特性捕捉不足的问题,分别通过优化初始聚类中心选取策略与引入核函数映射机制,以提升算法对变电站负荷曲线高维特征的解析能力。在完成缺失值填补与数据标准化预处理后,本算法首先基于最大距离准则优化初始聚类中心选取,最大化初始中心间异质性以提升聚类稳定性;其次,引入核函数映射机制,映射负荷曲线至高维空间聚类,实现高维特征的显式解耦与聚类分析。仿真结果表明,在特征提取能力方面,改进算法生成的主成分分析(principal component analysis,PCA)特征空间中变电站四季负荷特征呈现显著差异性,能更好地获取负荷高维特征;在算法性能方面,改进算法使执行时间减少32.8%,聚类评价指标戴维斯-布尔丁指数(davies-bouldin index,DBI)降低了29.1%,邓恩指数(dunn index,DI)提高了42.9%,验证了所提算法的有效性和优越性。
蒋达飞, 艾洪克, 孟巧, 董彪, 翁一帆, 张谦. 基于改进ISODATA算法的变电站负荷特性聚类[J]. 中国电力, 2026, 59(3): 125-133.
JIANG Dafei, AI Hongke, MENG Qiao, DONG Biao, WENG Yifan, ZHANG Qian. Clustering of substation load characteristics based on improved ISODATA algorithm[J]. Electric Power, 2026, 59(3): 125-133.
| 聚类指标 | 线性核函数 | 多项式核函数 | 高斯核函数 |
| DBI | 0.58 | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| DI | 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
表 1 3种核函数效果对比
Table 1 Comparison of the effects of the three kernel functions
| 聚类指标 | 线性核函数 | 多项式核函数 | 高斯核函数 |
| DBI | 0.58 | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| DI | 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| 季节 | 核心维度 | 关键特征 | 典型场景 |
| 春 | PC1 | 双极对立 | 供暖-制冷切换期 |
| 夏 | PC1/PC3 | 强聚集+尾部发散 | 空调负荷与极端气候 |
| 秋 | PC2 | 核心-外围结构 | 农业/温变混合负荷 |
| 冬 | PC3 | 核心稳定+尾部异常 | 极寒天气响应 |
表 2 跨季节特征维度对比
Table 2 Comparison of Cross-Seasonal Characterization Dimensions
| 季节 | 核心维度 | 关键特征 | 典型场景 |
| 春 | PC1 | 双极对立 | 供暖-制冷切换期 |
| 夏 | PC1/PC3 | 强聚集+尾部发散 | 空调负荷与极端气候 |
| 秋 | PC2 | 核心-外围结构 | 农业/温变混合负荷 |
| 冬 | PC3 | 核心稳定+尾部异常 | 极寒天气响应 |
| 算法 | K-means | K-Medoids | ISODATA | K-L-ISODATA |
| 时间/ms | 13.5 | 44.8 | 19.5 | 13.1 |
| DBI | 0.60 | 0.52 | 0.55 | 0.39 |
| DI | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.28 | 0.40 |
表 3 不同聚类方法所需执行时间
Table 3 Execution time required for different clustering methods
| 算法 | K-means | K-Medoids | ISODATA | K-L-ISODATA |
| 时间/ms | 13.5 | 44.8 | 19.5 | 13.1 |
| DBI | 0.60 | 0.52 | 0.55 | 0.39 |
| DI | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.28 | 0.40 |
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