中国电力 ›› 2014, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (11): 145-149.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2014.11.145.4

• 电力规划 • 上一篇    下一篇

输配电网利用水平的宏观分析方法及日本案例研究

何博, 李立理, 张义斌, 胡波   

  1. 国网能源研究院, 北京 102209
  • 收稿日期:2014-06-04 出版日期:2014-11-18 发布日期:2015-12-08
  • 作者简介:何博(1987—),男,湖南常德人,博士,工程师,从事智能电网、故障检测与诊断等研究。E-mail: hebo@sgeri.sgcc.com.cn

Macro-Analysis Approaches of Power Grids Utilization Level and A Case Study on Japan

HE Bo, LI Li-li, ZHANG Yi-bin, HU Bo   

  1. State Grid Energy Research Institute, Beijing 102209, China
  • Received:2014-06-04 Online:2014-11-18 Published:2015-12-08

摘要: 通过分析一个国家或地区的电力宏观统计数据,能够一定程度揭示其输配电网利用水平的历史发展规律及其与全社会电力需求增长之间的关系。提出了一组反映输配电网整体利用率的利用水平指标以及该指标的近似估算方法和一组反映输配电网发展速度与用电需求增长速度之间相对关系的发展弹性系数指标。为验证所提两组指标的实用性,分析了日本1963—2011年电力工业发展数据,绘制了历史曲线图,从利用水平的角度研究了日本输配电网的发展规律。算例分析结果表明,在特定阶段日本电网建设超前于经济发展,不同电压等级电网利用水平发展趋势有较大差别,电网利用水平受经济发展水平和经济波动影响明显。

关键词: 电网, 输配电, 输电线路利用率, 变电设备利用率, 电力发展弹性系数, 日本电力工业

Abstract: The analysis on the macro statistic data of the power industry of a country or a region can reveal the historical development of power grids utilization and the relationship between the utilization level and the electric demand growth of the whole society. This article proposes a set of indicators of the power grids utilization level and the estimation approaches on these indicators, as well as a set of development elastic coefficients which demonstrate the relationship between the growth rates of power grids and electric demands. To verify the applicability of these indicators, the article also analyses the historical data of the power industry of Japan between 1963 and 2011 through plotting the historical curves, and studies the development of the power grids in Japan from the aspect of grids utilization. The results show that the power grids in Japan developed ahead of the economy in a specific period, and the utilization level is quite different between the power grids of different voltages, and the power grids utilization levels are strongly affected by the economic development and fluctuations.

Key words: transmission line utilization rate, substation equipment utilization rate, power development elastic coefficient, Japan power industry

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