中国电力 ›› 2024, Vol. 57 ›› Issue (10): 158-165.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202403021

• 应对非常规安全风险的新型电力系统规划、运行与控制关键技术 • 上一篇    下一篇

考虑柔性资源协同互动的配电网灵活性评估方法

刘志文1(), 李岩1, 邵冲1, 范心明2, 曾庆辉2   

  1. 1. 南方电网能源发展研究院有限责任公司,广东 广州 510663
    2. 广东电网有限责任公司佛山供电局,广东 佛山 528322
  • 收稿日期:2024-03-06 出版日期:2024-10-28 发布日期:2024-10-25
  • 作者简介:刘志文(1980—),男,通信作者,博士,高级工程师(教授级),从事负荷预测、需求响应、虚拟电厂、电网规划等研究,E-mail:liuzw32347@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(U22B20114)。

Distribution Network Flexibility Evaluation Method Considering Collaborative Interaction of Flexible Resources

Zhiwen LIU1(), Yan LI1, Chong SHAO1, Xinming FAN2, Qinghui ZENG2   

  1. 1. Energy Development Research Institute, China Southern Power Grid, Guangzhou 510663, China
    2. Foshan Power Supply Bureau of Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Foshan 528322, China
  • Received:2024-03-06 Online:2024-10-28 Published:2024-10-25
  • Supported by:
    This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.U22B20114).

摘要:

提出一种考虑柔性资源协同互动的配电网灵活性评估方法。首先,构建包含协同调节能力、协作效益质量和电网可靠性三方面的灵活性评估指标体系;其次,采用高斯混合模型构建了典型运行场景,采用层次分析法和随机森林模型分别确定评估指标的主观权重与客观权重,并通过双层评估流程,计算得到各典型场景下的评估指标值;然后,根据典型场景的出现概率,加权得到各个柔性资源接入方案的综合灵活性评估指标值;最后,通过54节点配电网算例分析,验证了所提方法的可行性和有效性。

关键词: 配电网, 柔性资源, 灵活性评估, 随机森林

Abstract:

A distribution network flexibility evaluation method considering collaborative interaction of flexible resources is proposed. Firstly, a flexibility evaluation indicator system is constructed, which includes three aspects: collaborative regulation capacity, collaborative efficiency quality, and power grid reliability. Secondly, a Gaussian mixture model is used to construct typical operating scenarios, and the subjective and objective weights of evaluation indicators are determined using Analytic Hierarchy Process and Random Forest Model, respectively. Through a double-layer evaluation process, the evaluation indicator values for each typical scenario are calculated. Then, based on the probability of typical scenarios appearing, the comprehensive flexibility evaluation index values of each flexible resource access scheme are weighted. Finally, the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method are verified through the case study on a 54-bus distribution network.

Key words: distribution network, flexible resources, flexibility evaluation method, random forest