中国电力 ›› 2026, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (4): 79-93.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202509067
收稿日期:2025-09-29
发布日期:2026-04-20
出版日期:2026-04-28
作者简介:基金资助:Received:2025-09-29
Online:2026-04-20
Published:2026-04-28
Supported by:摘要:
中国高速公路路网的快速扩张加剧了交通能源消耗与碳排放问题,亟需通过虚拟电厂(virtual power plant,VPP)实现高速路域分布式能源的高效就地消纳,开展计及源荷不确定性的高速路域VPP运行优化策略对降低VPP运行成本具有重要意义。针对分布式能源出力与电动汽车充电需求不确定性的问题,基于马尔科夫链蒙特卡洛法采样生成多时间尺度场景集,提出马尔科夫链蒙特卡洛法与基于概率距离削减的方法结合的场景生成-削减混合框架进行场景生成与削减。以高速路域VPP运行成本最小为目标建立高速路域VPP运行优化模型,采用基于约束策略优化的高速路域VPP智能调度算法进行求解优化。算例结果表明,所提优化方案使高速路域VPP运行成本降低,验证了所提方案具有良好的经济性。
李欣, 宋金金. 计及源荷双重不确定性的高速路域虚拟电厂运行优化策略[J]. 中国电力, 2026, 59(4): 79-93.
LI Xin, SONG Jinjin. Operation optimization strategy for highway-domain virtual power plants considering dual uncertainties of source and loads[J]. Electric Power, 2026, 59(4): 79-93.
| 类型 | 持续时长/h | 可中断时长/h | 调节成本/(元·(kW·h)–1) |
| 可平移 | 2 | 5 | 0.2 |
| 可转移 | 2 | 5 | 0.3 |
表 1 柔性负荷参数
Table 1 Flexible load parameters
| 类型 | 持续时长/h | 可中断时长/h | 调节成本/(元·(kW·h)–1) |
| 可平移 | 2 | 5 | 0.2 |
| 可转移 | 2 | 5 | 0.3 |
| 设备类型 | 参数 | 数值/kW |
| 光伏 | 装机容量 | |
| 风电 | 装机容量 | 800 |
| 储能 | 储能容量 | |
| 储能功率 | 700 |
表 2 设备运行参数
Table 2 Equipment operation parameters
| 设备类型 | 参数 | 数值/kW |
| 光伏 | 装机容量 | |
| 风电 | 装机容量 | 800 |
| 储能 | 储能容量 | |
| 储能功率 | 700 |
| 设备 | 费用/(元·kW–1) |
| 光伏发电设备 | 0.020 |
| 风力发电设备 | 0.100 |
| 蓄电池组 | 0.011 |
表 3 部分设备运行费用
Table 3 Operating costs of selected equipment
| 设备 | 费用/(元·kW–1) |
| 光伏发电设备 | 0.020 |
| 风力发电设备 | 0.100 |
| 蓄电池组 | 0.011 |
| 风电出力 场景序号 | 概率 | 光伏出 力场景 | 概率 | 充电负 荷场景 | 概率 | ||
| 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 0.19 | 1 | 0.46 | ||
| 2 | 0.16 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 0.12 | ||
| 3 | 0.15 | 3 | 0.11 | 3 | 0.11 | ||
| 4 | 0.17 | 4 | 0.37 | 4 | 0.34 | ||
| 5 | 0.41 | 5 | 0.18 | 5 | 0.26 |
表 4 削减后5种场景风光出力概率
Table 4 Probabilities of wind and solar power output for the five post-reduction scenarios
| 风电出力 场景序号 | 概率 | 光伏出 力场景 | 概率 | 充电负 荷场景 | 概率 | ||
| 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 0.19 | 1 | 0.46 | ||
| 2 | 0.16 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 0.12 | ||
| 3 | 0.15 | 3 | 0.11 | 3 | 0.11 | ||
| 4 | 0.17 | 4 | 0.37 | 4 | 0.34 | ||
| 5 | 0.41 | 5 | 0.18 | 5 | 0.26 |
| 参数名称 | 数值 |
| 学习率α | 1×10–3 |
| 折扣因子γ | 0.995 |
| 探索率 | 0.05 |
| 经验池容量 | |
| 网络维度 | (64, 4, 64) |
表 5 超参数设置
Table 5 Hyperparameter settings
| 参数名称 | 数值 |
| 学习率α | 1×10–3 |
| 折扣因子γ | 0.995 |
| 探索率 | 0.05 |
| 经验池容量 | |
| 网络维度 | (64, 4, 64) |
| 方案 | 总费用/元 | 购售电成本/元 | 新能源消纳率/% |
| 1 | 60.38 | ||
| 2 | 95.75 | ||
| 3 | 98.00 |
表 6 运行成本对比
Table 6 Comparison of operating costs
| 方案 | 总费用/元 | 购售电成本/元 | 新能源消纳率/% |
| 1 | 60.38 | ||
| 2 | 95.75 | ||
| 3 | 98.00 |
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