考虑投资均衡和效益性的中压配电网投资分配

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202011016

中国电力 ›› 2021, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (12): 143-149.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202011016

考虑投资均衡和效益性的中压配电网投资分配

李娜¹, 李朝阳², 周进¹, 高毅¹, 洪运福², 游维扬³

1. 国网天津市电力公司经济技术研究院, 天津 300171;
2. 国网天津市电力公司, 天津 300010;
3. 中国电力企业联合会电力建设技术经济咨询中心, 北京 100053

收稿日期:2020-11-04 修回日期:2021-10-26 出版日期:2021-12-05 发布日期:2021-12-16
作者简介:李娜(1985-),女,博士,高级经济师,从事能源电力经济研究,E-mail:linajamie@163.com;游维扬(1983-),男,通信作者,硕士,高级经济师,从事电力技术经济研究,E-mail:youweiyang@cec.org.cn
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助项目(计及外部效应的电网级储能系统动态定价模型研究，71801092)

Investment Allocation for Medium-Voltage Distribution Networks Considering Investment Equilibrium and Benefits

LI Na¹, LI Chaoyang², ZHOU Jin¹, GAO Yi¹, HONG Yunfu², YOU Weiyang³

1. Economic Research Institute of State Grid Tianjin Electric Power Company, Tianjin 300171, China;
2. State Grid Tianjin Electric Power Company, Tianjin 300010, China;
3. Technical and Economic Consulting Center of Electricity Power Construction, CEC, Beijing 100053, China

Received:2020-11-04 Revised:2021-10-26 Online:2021-12-05 Published:2021-12-16
Supported by:
This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China（Research on Dynamic Pricing Model of Grid-level Energy Storage System Considering External Effects, No.71801092）.

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 针对目前配电网投资缺乏合理的分配方法，提出适用于中压配电网多地区和多类项目投资分配模型。首先从投资需求、区域电力需求、问题现状和规划目标、投资效益、项目管理水平和风险分担能力等维度分别梳理提炼中压配电网投资分配评价指标和评分方法，引入面板回归分析，建立地市供电公司各地区中压配电网投资与指标综合评分的函数关系。其次基于多目标优化决策技术，分别以投资均衡和整体效益、单位投资效益最优为目标，提出增供电量、提升供电可靠性和降损效益等大类项目和各功能项目的投资分配模型。实证分析表明：所提模型可为地市供电公司中压配电网各地区和各类项目投资分配提供支撑。

关键词: 配电网, 投资分配, 面板回归, 多目标优化

Abstract: In view of the lack of reasonable investment allocation methods for distribution networks, this paper proposes an investment allocation model for multi-region and multi-type projects of medium-voltage distribution networks. Firstly, from the perspective of investment demand, regional power demand, problem status and planning targets, investment benefits, project management level, risk-sharing ability and other factors, the indicators and grading methods are investigated and determined for investment allocation of the medium-voltage distribution networks, and the panel regression analysis is introduced to establish the functional relationship between the medium-voltage distribution network investment of each prefecture-level power supply company and the integrated indicator grading. Secondly, based on the multi-objective optimization decision-making techniques, and with the objective of investment balance and overall benefits and the best unit investment benefits, an investment allocation model is proposed for various large-scale projects and various function projects to increase power supply, improve power supply reliability and reduce line losses. The case study shows that the proposed model can provide a support for the investment allocation for various regions and various projects of the medium-voltage distribution networks of prefecture-level power supply companies.

Key words: distribution network, investment allocation, panel regression, multi-objective optimization

李娜, 李朝阳, 周进, 高毅, 洪运福, 游维扬. 考虑投资均衡和效益性的中压配电网投资分配[J]. 中国电力, 2021, 54(12): 143-149.

LI Na, LI Chaoyang, ZHOU Jin, GAO Yi, HONG Yunfu, YOU Weiyang. Investment Allocation for Medium-Voltage Distribution Networks Considering Investment Equilibrium and Benefits[J]. Electric Power, 2021, 54(12): 143-149.

导出引用管理器 EndNote|Ris|BibTeX

链接本文: https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202011016

https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/Y2021/V54/I12/143

参考文献

[1] 王宸, 程浩忠, 柳璐, 等. 基于改进粒子群算法的配电网投资管控方法研究[J]. 华东电力, 2014, 42(4): 633–638
WANG Chen, CHENG Haozhong, LIU Lu, et al. Management and control of distribution network investment based on the improved PSO[J]. East China Electric Power, 2014, 42(4): 633–638
[2] 郭泉辉, 肖园, 魏力, 等. 基于协整理论及DEA分析的配电网投入产出综合效率评价研究[J]. 电气技术与经济, 2019(5): 52–57
[3] 薛风华, 冯小宇, 仲寅峰, 等. 增量配电网多主体投资收益分配Shapley模型研究[J]. 智慧电力, 2020, 48(1): 80–84,96
XUE Fenghua, FENG Xiaoyu, ZHONG Yinfeng, et al. Research on Shapley model of multi-agent investment income distribution in incremental distribution network[J]. Smart Power, 2020, 48(1): 80–84,96
[4] 吴鸿亮, 李东伟, 王玲. 配网投资成效动态评价体系[J]. 南方电网技术, 2019, 13(6): 44–49
WU Hongliang, LI Dongwei, WANG Ling. Dynamic evaluation system of distribution network investment effect[J]. Southern Power System Technology, 2019, 13(6): 44–49
[5] 刘旭娜, 魏俊, 张文涛, 等. 基于信息熵和模糊分析法的配电网投资效益评估及决策[J]. 电力系统保护与控制, 2019, 47(12): 48–56
LIU Xuna, WEI Jun, ZHANG Wentao, et al. Investment benefits evaluation and decision for distribution network based on information entropy and fuzzy analysis method[J]. Power System Protection and Control, 2019, 47(12): 48–56
[6] 唐玮, 张海华, 肖盛. 基于规划项目属性分类的配电网精确投资策略研究[J]. 科技和产业, 2018, 18(1): 63–67
TANG Wei, ZHANG Haihua, XIAO Sheng. Research on accurate investment strategy of distribution network based on attribute classification of projects[J]. Science Technology and Industry, 2018, 18(1): 63–67
[7] 徐斌, 马骏, 刘红新, 等. 基于配电网评价的投资分配方法[J]. 武汉大学学报(工学版), 2020, 53(3): 248–254
XU Bin, MA Jun, LIU Hongxin, et al. Investment allocation method based on distribution network evaluation[J]. Engineering Journal of Wuhan University, 2020, 53(3): 248–254
[8] 李科, 傅光辉, 田春筝, 等. 基于历史投资成效的配电网投资分配方法及项目优选[J]. 计算技术与自动化, 2019, 38(3): 33–38
LI Ke, FU Guanghui, TIAN Chunzheng, et al. Distribution network investment allocation and project optimization method considering the historical investment effectiveness[J]. Computing Technology and Automation, 2019, 38(3): 33–38
[9] 刘莹, 潘伟. 考虑配电网发展匹配度及均衡度的投资策略优化研究[J]. 东北电力技术, 2020, 41(1): 57–59,62
LIU Ying, PAN Wei. Research on investment strategy optimization considering development matching degree and balance degree of distribution network[J]. Northeast Electric Power Technology, 2020, 41(1): 57–59,62
[10] 余松, 吴延琳, 王主丁, 等. 配电网投资分配的模型策略[J]. 电网与清洁能源, 2017, 33(12): 28–36
YU Song, WU Yanlin, WANG Zhuding, et al. Models and strategies of distribution network investment allocation[J]. Power System and Clean Energy, 2017, 33(12): 28–36
[11] 易强红. 配电网投资分配决策模型研究[D]. 重庆: 重庆大学, 2015
YI Qianghong. Study on a decision-making model for the investment allocation of power distribution networks[D]. Chongqing: Chongqing University, 2015.
[12] 崔文婷, 刘洪, 杨卫红, 等. 配电网投资分配及项目优选研究[J]. 中国电力, 2015, 48(11): 149–154
CUI Wenting, LIU Hong, YANG Weihong, et al. Study on distribution network investment allocation and project selection optimization[J]. Electric Power, 2015, 48(11): 149–154
[13] 葛亮. 基于电网性能及效益评估的输配电网分层投资优化模型研究[D]. 上海: 上海交通大学, 2017.
GE Liang. Research on tiered investment optimization model of transmission and distribution network based on grid performance and benefit evaluation [D]. Shanghai: Shanghai Jiaotong University, 2017.
[14] 吴延琳, 罗璇, 张寓涵, 等. 配电网投资分配模型建立及项目优选方法研究[J]. 自动化与仪器仪表, 2018(7): 12–14
WU Yanlin, LUO Xuan, ZHANG Yuhan, et al. Establishment of investment allocation model for distribution network and research on project optimization method[J]. Automation & Instrumentation, 2018(7): 12–14
[15] 汪颖翔, 方仍存, 张籍, 等. 配电网投资决策体系研究[J]. 智慧电力, 2019, 47(2): 56–62
WANG Yingxiang, FANG Rengcun, ZHANG Ji, et al. Research on investment decision system of distribution network[J]. Smart Power, 2019, 47(2): 56–62
[16] 李文, 崔文婷, 冯建华, 等. 考虑项目属性的中压配电网投资决策方法[J]. 电力系统及其自动化学报, 2018, 30(5): 50–55,62
LI Wen, CUI Wenting, FENG Jianhua, et al. Decision-making method for investment on medium-voltage distribution network considering project attributes[J]. Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA, 2018, 30(5): 50–55,62
[17] 马倩, 王博, 胡蔚, 等. 配电网建设与改造项目评价及决策优化研究[J]. 电网与清洁能源, 2015, 31(3): 11–17
MA Qian, WANG Bo, HU Wei, et al. Study on evaluation and decision optimization of distribution network construction and innovation reconstruction projects[J]. Power System and Clean Energy, 2015, 31(3): 11–17
[18] 葛婷. 配电网投资效益评价及投资决策模型研究[D]. 北京: 华北电力大学, 2019
GE Ting. Research on investment benefit evaluation and investment decision model of distribution network[D]. Beijing: North China Electric Power University, 2019.
[19] 王利利, 贾梦雨, 韩松, 等. 基于TOPSIS—灰色关联度的农网投资效益与风险能力综合评价[J]. 电力科学与技术学报, 2020, 35(4): 76–83
WANG Lili, JIA Mengyu, HAN Song, et al. Synthesized evaluation of investment efficiency and risk ability of rural network based on TOPSIS-gray incidence[J]. Journal of Electric Power Science and Technology, 2020, 35(4): 76–83
[20] 茹铭. 基于工程属性的配电网投资决策优化模型及其应用研究[D]. 北京: 华北电力大学, 2017
RU Ming. Optimization model of distribution network investment decisions based on the engineering properties and apply research[D]. Beijing: North China Electric Power University, 2017.
[21] 尹飞. 配电网工程规划项目社会效益评价及实证研究[D]. 北京: 华北电力大学, 2014
YIN Fei. Social evaluation in distribution project planning and empirical study[D]. Beijing: North China Electric Power University, 2014.
[22] 程亮, 胡卫利, 胡蔚, 等. 电网基建项目投资决策方法研究[J]. 电网与清洁能源, 2014, 30(12): 84–90
CHENG Liang, HU Weili, HU Wei, et al. Decision making on the construction investment of a power grid project[J]. Power System and Clean Energy, 2014, 30(12): 84–90
[23] 刘胜利, 曹阳, 冯跃亮, 等. 配电网投资效益评价与决策模型研究及应用[J]. 电力系统保护与控制, 2015, 43(2): 119–125
LIU Shengli, CAO Yang, FENG Yueliang, et al. Research and application of distribution grid investment effectiveness evaluation and decision-making model[J]. Power System Protection and Control, 2015, 43(2): 119–125
[24] 刘胜利. 配电网投资效益评价与决策模型研究及应用[D]. 北京: 华北电力大学, 2017
LIU Shengli. Research and application of distribution grid investment effectiveness evaluation and decision-making model[D]. Beijing: North China Electric Power University, 2017.
[25] 高卉, 丁庆洋. 基于Panel Data模型的中国上市保险公司行业β系数实证分析[J]. 经济研究导刊, 2016(33): 81–85

考虑投资均衡和效益性的中压配电网投资分配

Investment Allocation for Medium-Voltage Distribution Networks Considering Investment Equilibrium and Benefits

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 15

编辑推荐

Metrics

[1]	贺春光, 王林峰, 曹媛, 安佳坤, 雷子健, 宋关羽, 冀浩然. 考虑综合收益的多电压等级配电网柔性互联装置协同规划方法[J]. 中国电力, 2025, 58(1): 78-84.
[2]	刘文军, 董伟杰, 陈远扬, 何书耘, 陈剑, 贾东强. 新能源高渗透配电网柔性多状态开关的多目标优化控制策略[J]. 中国电力, 2025, 58(1): 85-92.
[3]	祝士焱, 许寅, 和敬涵, 王颖. 基于多微电网投影的配电系统协调恢复方法[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(9): 224-230.
[4]	张亚健, 陈茨, 薛飞, 马丽, 郑敏. 电制氢协同的含高比例光伏配电网两阶段电压随机优化控制[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(8): 23-35.
[5]	孙东磊, 孙毅, 刘蕊, 孙鹏凯, 张玉敏. 计及多层级配电网的分布式新能源最大消纳空间分解测算[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(8): 108-116.
[6]	凡鹏飞, 李宝琴, 侯江伟, 李嵘, 宋崇明, 林凯骏. 配电网分布式电源经济可承载力评估[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(7): 196-202.
[7]	王家武, 赵佃云, 刘长锋, 陈康, 张玉敏. 基于目标级联法的多主体主动配电网自治协同优化[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(7): 214-226.
[8]	韩璟琳, 胡平, 侯若松, 陈志永, 李洪涛, 柴园园. 计及多光储一体机的配电网电压优化控制策略[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(6): 69-77, 152.
[9]	徐峰亮, 王克谦, 王文豪, 王鹏, 王文烨, 张帅, 赵凤展. 计及激励型需求响应的低压配电网混合储能优化配置[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(6): 90-101.
[10]	赵会茹, 姚满宇, 李兵抗, 谢光龙, 丁智华, 胡臻达. 考虑乡村振兴贡献度的农网项目投资决策模型[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(6): 181-192.
[11]	乔俊峰, 周爱华, 彭林, 王一清, 沈晓峰, 潘森, 杨佩, 黄晨宏. 基于多源数据深度融合的配电网运行评价方法[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(6): 193-203.
[12]	张宇, 魏新迟, 冯凯辉, 时珊珊, 孟子涵, 梁媛. 计及分布式光伏承载力的配电网侧独立储能充放电策略[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(4): 111-117.
[13]	魏明江, 李鹏, 于浩, 冀浩然, 宋关羽, 习伟. 数字配电网边缘计算模拟实验平台[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(3): 12-19.
[14]	焦昊, 殷岩岩, 吴晨, 刘建, 徐春雷, 徐贤, 孙国强. 基于安全强化学习的主动配电网有功-无功协调优化调度[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(3): 43-50.
[15]	刘国强, 李国春, 郝亚楠, 李贵海, 吴中杰. 低压直流配电网强弱电弧特征及检测算法[J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(2): 94-102.

模态框（Modal）标题

考虑投资均衡和效益性的中压配电网投资分配

Investment Allocation for Medium-Voltage Distribution Networks Considering Investment Equilibrium and Benefits

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 15

编辑推荐

Metrics