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面向全量边界覆盖的年度电网运行方式计算策略生成方法

Generation method of calculation strategies for annual power grid operating-mode with full-scenario boundary coverage

  • 摘要: 近年来,源-网-荷-储-市场多元耦合使年度电网运行方式计算场景呈“组合爆炸”态势。现有方式计算流程依赖人工断点式衔接,易造成边界覆盖不足与流程反复迭代。为此,提出面向全量边界覆盖的年度电网运行方式计算策略生成方法。首先,构建计算策略生成的总体框架,实现全流程自动生成;其次,提出概率与风险协同的候选场景生成方法,筛选值得计算的边界组合;然后,提出基于火电投运容量分组的运行方式计算策略,搜索接近支路热稳定限额的共同开机方式;最后,通过改进IEEE 39节点系统算例表明,所提方法能够自动从海量场景中确定计算对象并识别最具越限风险的运行方式,为年度电网运行方式计算由人工经验驱动向自动化转变提供技术支撑。

     

    Abstract: In recent years, the multi-dimensional coupling of source-grid-load-storage-market has caused a "combinatorial explosion" of calculation scenarios for annual power-grid operating-modes. Existing operation-mode calculation procedures rely on manual breakpoint-based connection, which tends to result in insufficient boundary coverage and repeated iterations. To address these issues, a generation method of calculation strategy for annual power grid operating-mode with full-scenario boundary coverage is proposed. Firstly, an overall framework is established to automate the entire strategy-generation process. Secondly, a candidate-scenario generation method coordinating probability and risk is developed to select boundary combinations worthy of calculation. Thirdly, an operating-mode calculation strategy based on grouping of in-service thermal-power capacity is proposed to search for combined unit start-up modes approaching branch thermal-stability limits. Finally, case studies on the modified IEEE 39-bus system demonstrate that the proposed method can automatically determine calculation targets from massive scenarios and identify operating modes with the highest limit-violation risk, providing a technical support for the transformation of annual power-grid operating-mode calculation from manual-experience-driven mode to automatic mode.

     

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