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考虑电采暖用户有限理性的虚拟电厂调度优化策略

Optimization strategy for virtual power plant scheduling considering the limited rationality of electric heating users

  • 摘要: 清洁供暖工程的推进,促使蓄热式电采暖在冬季的负荷占比不断提高,现已成为虚拟电厂(virtual power plant,VPP)优化调度的重要需求侧资源。针对传统完全理性的VPP调度模型难以准确刻画电采暖用户实际决策行为的问题,提出了考虑用户有限理性的虚拟电厂双层主从博弈优化调度模型。首先,基于前景理论(prospect theory,PT)构建电采暖用户决策价值模型,描述用户对用电成本与采暖舒适度的主观感知,并引入Logit模型刻画用户响应概率;其次,建立主从博弈模型,上层以VPP运行收益最大为目标制定分时电价策略,下层用户以综合前景价值最大为目标进行需求响应决策;最后,通过算例仿真验证所提模型可使VPP调度方案更贴合用户实际用电行为,显著提升VPP调度的准确性与实用价值。

     

    Abstract: The advancement of clean heating projects has led to a growing share of thermal storage electric heating in winter loads, making it an important demand-side resource for virtual power plant (VPP) optimal scheduling. Aiming at the problem that the traditional fully rational VPP scheduling model is difficult to accurately describe the actual decision-making behavior of electric heating users, a two-layer Stackelberg game optimization scheduling model of virtual power plant considering users' bounded rationality is proposed. Firstly, based on the prospect theory (PT), the decision-making value model of electric heating users is constructed to describe the subjective perception of electricity cost and heating comfort, and the Logit model is introduced to describe the user response probability. Secondly, the Stackelberg game game model is established. The upper layer formulates the time-of-use electricity price strategy with the goal of maximizing the operating income of VPP, and the lower layer users make the demand response decision with the goal of maximizing the comprehensive prospect value. Finally, the simulation results show that the proposed model can make the VPP scheduling scheme more suitable for the actual electricity consumption behavior of users, and significantly improve the accuracy and practical value of VPP scheduling.

     

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