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城乡居民绿色电力支付意愿及影响因素分析

Analysis of urban and rural residents' willingness to pay for green electricity and its influencing factors

  • 摘要: 激发绿色电力消费是促进可再生能源高效消纳利用的关键举措,对减少能源领域碳排放、支撑能源绿色低碳转型具有重要作用。然而,城乡居民对绿色电力支付意愿的关键影响因素与形成路径尚不清晰,相关激励政策的设计缺乏明确依据。选取洞庭湖生态经济区1417份城乡居民调查数据,综合运用双边界二分式条件价值评估法、结构方程模型和模糊集定性比较分析法,实证分析城乡居民绿色电力支付意愿水平、影响因素及其组态路径。结果表明:1)城乡居民绿色电力支付意愿水平为18.20元/月,该结论在经过稳健性检验后依然成立。2)态度、主观规范、知觉行为控制、环境认知水平和政策环境对支付意愿具有显著正向影响,其中知觉行为控制和主观规范的影响较强,环境认知水平的影响相对较弱。中介效应检验进一步表明:态度在环境认知水平对支付意愿影响中发挥中介作用。3)组态分析显示,知觉行为控制是驱动高支付意愿的核心条件,主观规范与政策环境之间存在替代与协同并存关系,二者协同作用时驱动效果最为显著。基于研究结果,建议强化主观规范与政策环境的协同驱动、优化认购流程和实施差异化施策,有效激发城乡居民绿色电力支付意愿。

     

    Abstract: Stimulating green electricity consumption is a key measure for promoting the efficient integration and utilization of renewable energy and plays a vital role in reducing carbon emissions in the energy sector and supporting the green and low-carbon transition of the energy sector. However, the key factors influencing urban and rural residents' willingness to pay for green electricity and the mechanisms underlying this willingness remain unclear, and the design of relevant incentive policies lacks a clear basis. This study utilizes survey data from 1417 urban and rural residents in the Dongting Lake Ecological Economic Zone. By comprehensively applying the double-bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation method (DBDC-CVM), structural equation modeling (SEM), and fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA), the study empirically analyzes the level of willingness to pay for green electricity among urban and rural residents, as well as its influencing factors and configuration pathways. The results indicate that: (1) the willingness to pay for green electricity among urban and rural residents is 18.20 yuan per month, a conclusion that remains valid after robustness testing. (2) Attitude, subjective norms, perceived behavioral control, level of environmental awareness, and policy environment all have significant positive effects on willingness to pay, with perceived behavioral control and subjective norms exerting stronger influences, while the effect of level of environmental awareness is relatively weaker. Tests of mediating effects further indicate that attitude mediates the relationship between level of environmental awareness and willingness to pay. (3) Configurational analysis reveals that perceived behavioral control is the core condition driving high willingness to pay. A relationship of both substitution and synergy exists between subjective norms and the policy environment, with the most significant driving effect observed when the two act synergistically. Based on these findings, it is recommended to strengthen the synergistic driving force of subjective norms and the policy environment, optimize the subscription process, and implement differentiated measures to effectively stimulate urban and rural residents' willingness to pay for green electricity.

     

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