高级检索

考虑虚拟电厂调控信号不确定性的城市配电网调度模型

A dispatch model for urban distribution networks considering the uncertainty of virtual power plant regulation signals

  • 摘要: 随着大规模新能源接入电网,功率波动性和不确定性显著增加,给配电网的安全经济运行带来了严峻挑战。针对虚拟电厂在配电网调度中面临的调控指令不确定性问题,提出了基于离散概率场景的优化调度模型。首先,建立了储能设备、空调负荷和电动汽车等典型分布式资源的广义聚合模型,以统一刻画其功率调节能力与运行约束;随后,将调控指令的不确定性通过历史数据离散化为概率场景集,引入双层优化框架,其中决策层以虚拟电厂收益最大化为目标,制定能量与调频容量的最优投标策略,执行层在接收调控信号后,以运行成本最小为目标,将功率调整任务快速分配至各类分布式资源;最后,通过算例仿真进行验证,结果说明该方法能够有效提升虚拟电厂在不同不确定性环境下的经济性与灵活性。

     

    Abstract: The integration of large-scale renewable energy sources into the power grid has significantly increased power volatility and uncertainty, posing severe challenges to the secure and economic operation of distribution networks. To address this issue, an optimal scheduling model based on discrete probability scenarios is proposed to tackle the uncertainty of control commands in distribution network dispatch for virtual power plants. Firstly, a generalized aggregation model for typical distributed resources such as energy storage systems, air conditioning loads, and electric vehicles was established to uniformly characterize their power regulation capabilities and operational constraints. Subsequently, the uncertainty of regulation signals is discretized into a set of probabilistic scenarios using historical data, and a bi-level optimization framework is introduced. In the decision-making level, the objective is to maximize the virtual power plant's profit by determining the optimal bidding strategy for energy and frequency regulation capacity. At the execution level, upon receiving regulation signals, the goal is to minimize operational costs by rapidly allocating power adjustment tasks among various distributed resources. Finally, case study simulations are conducted for validation, with results demonstrating that the proposed method effectively enhances the economic efficiency and operational flexibility of virtual power plants under diverse uncertain environments.

     

/

返回文章
返回