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基于多时间尺度组合代理购电复盘的省内优化决策技术

Provincial optimal decision-making technology based on multi-time-scale combined agent power purchase review

  • 摘要: 随着电力市场化改革的推进,工商业用户将逐步全面进入市场,未进入市场的用户由电网企业代理购电。作为代理购电业务的关键主体,统筹安排多时间尺度市场购电,降低购电成本,对电网企业的运营有重要意义。梳理电网企业代理购电工作流程,构建计及年度、月度、现货市场的电网企业年度购电决策复盘优化模型,采用遗传算法和基于卷积神经网络(convolutional neural network,CNN)-长短期记忆网络(long short-term memory network,LSTM)-注意力机制(attention mechanism,Attention)算法进行模型求解,通过算例分析验证所建模型的有效性。复盘结果显示,通过调整中长期与现货市场购电比例,可有效实现购电策略的降本增效。

     

    Abstract: With the advancement of electricity market reform, industrial and commercial users will gradually enter the market, while the users not yet entering the market will purchase electricity through agents from grid companies. As key entities in agent-based electricity purchase, grid companies play a significant role in coordinating electricity purchases across multi-time-scale markets to reduce purchase costs, which is crucial for their operational efficiency. This study outlines the workflow of agent power purchase for power grid companies and establishes an annual power purchase decision review and optimization model that considers annual, monthly, and spot markets. The model is solved using the genetic algorithm and convolutional neural network (CNN) - long short-term memory network (LSTM) - attention mechanism (Attention), and the model's effectiveness is verified through case studies. The review results show that adjusting the power purchase ratio between the medium and long-term market and the spot market can effectively achieve cost reduction and efficiency improvement of power purchase strategies.

     

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