中国电力 ›› 2025, Vol. 58 ›› Issue (10): 63-70.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202504020

• “十五五”电力系统源网荷储协同规划运行关键技术 • 上一篇    下一篇

区域碳双控下跨区电力间接碳排放核算方法

权培英1(), 金艳鸣2(), 徐沈智3   

  1. 1. 济南大学 数学科学学院,山东 济南 250022
    2. 国网能源研究院有限公司,北京 102209
    3. 水电水利规划设计总院,北京 100120
  • 收稿日期:2025-04-09 发布日期:2025-10-23 出版日期:2025-10-28
  • 作者简介:
    权培英(1978),女,讲师,从事电力行业碳排放核算、绿证政策机制研究,E-mail:ss_quanpy@ujn.edu.cn
    金艳鸣(1977),女,高级工程师(教授级),通信作者,从事能源环境政策、碳核算与碳管理、宏观经济建模研究, E-mail: qltnz@sohu.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(碳-电-证市场耦合环境下灵活性调节资源的综合价值发现理论与方法,U22B20108);国家电网有限公司科技项目(5108-202218280A-2-421-XG)。

Accounting Methods for Indirect Carbon Emissions from Cross-regional Electricity under Dual Carbon Control Policies

QUAN Peiying1(), JIN Yanming2(), XU Shenzhi3   

  1. 1. School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Jinan, Jinan 250022, China
    2. State Grid Energy Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, China
    3. China Renewable Energy Engineering Institute, Beijing 100120, China
  • Received:2025-04-09 Online:2025-10-23 Published:2025-10-28
  • Supported by:
    This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Comprehensive Value Discovery Theory and Methodology for Flexible Regulation Resources in the Context of Carbon-Electricity-Certificate Market Coupling, No.U22B20108), Science and Technology Project of SGCC (No.5108-202218280A-2-421-XG).

摘要:

跨区电力间接碳排放核算关系到中国“十五五”主要送端与受端地区的碳预算管理。针对传统属地法核算偏差大、绿证衔接不足等问题,提出按照电力来源地因子、流入地因子、煤电净调入量及绿证消费调整的4种核算方法,量化评估2023年跨区跨省电力碳排放转移规模,比较不同核算方法对区域碳预算的影响。研究表明:不同方法下跨区电力间接碳排放核算结果差异显著,华东、华北等电力受端区域碳排放核算结果波动幅度超10%;“全国平均因子×绿证调整”的核算机制可动态修正受端地区的碳排放责任,建议跨区电力间接碳排放核算须立足区域协同发展与电力资源配置效率,综合考虑送受端地区责任分担机制及绿证制度确定。

关键词: 碳双控, 电力间接碳排放, 电力排放因子, 碳排放核算方法

Abstract:

The accounting of cross-regional electricity indirect carbon emissions is crucial to the carbon budget management of major power-sending and power-receiving regions during China's "15th Five-Year Plan" period. To address such issues as significant inaccuracies in traditional territorial-based accounting methods and insufficient integration of green electricity certificates, four alternative accounting methods, including the power source-based emission factor method, the power import-based emission factor method, the net coal-power transfer adjustment method, and the green certificate consumption adjustment method, are proposed to quantitatively assess the scale of carbon emission transfers via cross-regional and inter-provincial electricity transmission in 2023, and the impacts of different accounting methods on regional carbon budgets are compared. The study reveals that the accounting results of indirect carbon emissions from cross-regional electricity are varied significantly with different methods, with fluctuations exceeding 10% in key power-importing regions such as East China and North China; the accounting mechanism based on the "national average emission factor adjusted with green certificates" can dynamically refine the carbon emission responsibilities of power-importing regions. It is recommended that the accounting of indirect carbon emissions from cross-regional electricity transmission should be grounded in regional coordinated development and the efficiency of power resource allocation, with comprehensive consideration of the responsibility-sharing mechanisms between sending and receiving regions as well as the green certificate system.

Key words: carbon dual control, electricity indirect carbon emissions, electricity emission factor, carbon emission accounting method


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