中国电力 ›› 2016, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (9): 165-169.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2016.09.165.05

• 新能源 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于对比分析法的内蒙古某风场风资源后评估

谷新波, 李兴华, 王佳, 徐丽娜   

  1. 内蒙古自治区气象服务中心,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010051
  • 收稿日期:2016-04-20 出版日期:2016-09-10 发布日期:2016-09-28
  • 作者简介:谷新波(1979—),男,山东菏泽人,高级工程师,从事专业气象预报技术研究及业务应用。E-mail: nmggxb@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    中国气象局关键技术资助项目(CMAGJ2014M10)

Post-Assessment of Wind Resource of a Wind Farm in Inner Mongolia Base on Contrast Analysis

GU Xinbo, LI Xinghua, WANG Jia, XU Lina   

  1. Meteorological Service Center of Inner Mongolia, Huhhot 010051, China
  • Received:2016-04-20 Online:2016-09-10 Published:2016-09-28
  • Supported by:
    This work is supported by the Key Technical Assistance Project of China Meteorological Administration (No; CMAGJ2014M10)

摘要: 近年,风电项目后评估方面的研究已逐步开展起来,但多倾向于风电场运行安全性、经济性和发电量指标,以及用风电机组分布系数、风资源系数和损失系数来评价风电场运行情况。基于对比分析法,从平均风速、风向频率、最大风速、风速频率、有效风速小时数、风功率密度变化等评估要素,对内蒙古某风场风资源进行了后评估。研究表明:两阶段相比,风场参考气象站年平均风速、平均最大风速均趋于减小,趋势变化率分别为-0.015、-0.185;主风向一致均为SSE;静风频率降低21.6%;风场不同周期平均风速约减小0.80 m/s,白天风速减小10.00%,夜间风速减小约12.00%;3个风速区间有效风速小时数分别减小263 h、533 h和925 h,风速频率峰值区由6.50~7.50 m/s降至4.50~5.50 m/s,高频风速(超过7.00%)由4.50~9.50 m/s降至2.50~8.50 m/s;风功率密度与风速变化趋势较一致,其中,1月和下半年各月份2阶段风功率密度较接近,除5月外其他月份较设计阶段减小较明显;风功率密度频率峰值区对应风速区间由14.50~16.50 m/s减至9.50~10.50 m/s;高频区(超过7.00%)由10.50~13.50和14.50~16.50 m/s变为7.50~15.50 m/s。

关键词: 对比分析, 平均风速, 风向风速频率, 风功率密度, 风电后评估

Abstract: A comprehensive post-assessment of a wind farm in Inner Mongolia is performed based on contrast analysis. The assessment aspects include average wind speed, wind direction frequency, maximum wind speed, wind speed frequency, hours of effective wind speed and variation of wind power concentration. By comparing assessment factors in two different stages, the research shows that annual average wind speed and average maximum wind speed of the weather station decrease. The decrease rates are -0.015 and -0.185 respectively. Predominant wind direction, which is SSE, stays same. The rate of calm wind is lower by 21.6 percent. The decrease of average wind speed is about 0.8 m/s. The wind speed decrease 10 percent during day and 12 percent during night. The hours of effective wind speed in three wind speed rang lowered 263 h, 533 h and 925 h. The peak wind speed frequency decrease from 6.5~7.5 m/s to 4.5~5.5 m/s. Wind power concentration and wind speed change are similar. In January, wind power concentration is similar to months of second half in the year. The decrease of wind power concentration is more obvious for other months excluding May. The peak wind speed area decrease from 14.5~16.5 m/s to 9.5~10.5 m/s.

Key words: contrast analysis, average wind speed, wind speed and wind direction frequency, wind power density, wind power post- assessment

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