中国居民生活电力消费的分解分析

doi:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2014.3.130.4

中国电力 ›› 2014, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (3): 130-134.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2014.3.130.4

中国居民生活电力消费的分解分析

朱凯, 尹海涛

上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院,上海 200052

收稿日期:2013-12-20 出版日期:2014-03-31 发布日期:2015-12-18
作者简介:朱凯（1984-）,男,河南驻马店人,硕士研究生,从事能源与环境经济学研究。E-mail: zhukai1984@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助项目“消费者对生态标签的支付意愿及其决定因素研究”（71202071）

The Decomposition Analysis of Residential Electricity Consumption in China

ZHU Kai, YIN Hai-tao

Antai College of Economics & Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200052, China

Received:2013-12-20 Online:2014-03-31 Published:2015-12-18

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 电力消费对节能环保有重大影响。采用LMDI方法,基于人口效应、城市化效应、社会原子化效应和用电强度效应等因素,对中国居民生活用电的根据进行了分解。研究表明,对于全国而言,用电强度上升是引起居民生活用电量上升的主要原因;人口增长、城市化和社会原子化目前并非居民电力消费增长的主要推动力,但影响正在加强;对不同地区而言,各影响因素对电力消费增长的作用存在较大差异。

关键词: 分解分析, 居民生活用电, 城市化效应, 社会原子化, 用电强度

Abstract: Electricity consumption plays an important role in Resource conservation and environmental protection. Using LMDI method and decomposition analysis, this paper identifies four key factors including demographic effects, urbanization, social atomization and electricity consumption intensity that contribute to the increase of residential electricity consumption(REC). Results show that increased electricity consumption intensity is the primary driver for REC increment across the country. While demographic, urbanization and social atomization do not have a strong explanation power for the current REC growth, their impacts tend to increase. Besides, we found there are significant differences about the influences of the four factors among four major economic regions.

Key words: LMDI, REC, urbanization effects, social atomization, REC intensity

中图分类号:

TM715

朱凯, 尹海涛. 中国居民生活电力消费的分解分析[J]. 中国电力, 2014, 47(3): 130-134.

ZHU Kai, YIN Hai-tao. The Decomposition Analysis of Residential Electricity Consumption in China[J]. Electric Power, 2014, 47(3): 130-134.

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https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/Y2014/V47/I3/130

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中国居民生活电力消费的分解分析

The Decomposition Analysis of Residential Electricity Consumption in China

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中国居民生活电力消费的分解分析

The Decomposition Analysis of Residential Electricity Consumption in China

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