中国电力 ›› 2026, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (4): 150-164.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202509021

• 电力市场 • 上一篇    

国外电力容量市场机制及对中国的启示

庞越侠1(), 张姝月1(), 周亚泽1(), 戴文怡2(), 李佳霖2(), 马原3(), 吕媛2()   

  1. 1. 北京工业大学 经济与管理学院,北京 100124
    2. 华北电力大学 经济与管理学院,北京 102206
    3. 国网能源研究院有限公司,北京 102209
  • 收稿日期:2025-09-08 发布日期:2026-04-20 出版日期:2026-04-28
  • 作者简介:
    庞越侠(1990),女,副教授,从事能源经济研究,E-mail:pangyuexia@bjut.edu.cn
    张姝月(1998),女,硕士研究生,从事能源经济研究,E-mail:535970149@qq.com
    周亚泽(2001),男,硕士研究生,从事能源经济研究,E-mail:zhouyaze5018@163.com
    戴文怡(2001),女,硕士研究生,从事能源经济研究,E-mail:daiwenyi0926@163.com
    李佳霖(1994),女,通信作者,博士研究生,从事能源经济研究,E-mail:tuziljl666@163.com
    马原(1993),男,硕士,从事科技创新与科研管理研究,E-mail:ma_yuan@126.com
    吕媛(1997),女,博士研究生,从事新型电力系统成本疏导机制研究,E-mail: 1299230678@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(72204015);北京市教育委员会科研计划资助项目(SM202310005003)。

Electricity capacity market mechanisms in foreign countries and their implications for China

PANG Yuexia1(), ZHANG Shuyue1(), ZHOU Yaze1(), DAI Wenyi2(), LI Jialin2(), MA Yuan3(), LYU Yuan2()   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
    2. School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
    3. State Grid Energy Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, China
  • Received:2025-09-08 Online:2026-04-20 Published:2026-04-28
  • Supported by:
    This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.72204015), R&D Program of Beijing Municipal Education Commission (No.SM202310005003).

摘要:

随着可再生能源并网比例增加,传统化石能源机组利用小时数降低,固定成本回收机制不完善使其向调节或备用机组转型的渠道受阻,存量火电更倾向于退出市场,会进一步加剧电力系统峰荷时期容量缺口。首先,以爱尔兰、英国与美国PJM 3个典型容量市场为研究对象,系统梳理其容量市场运行和容量成本分摊机制,重点分析不同市场的实际运行成效与面临的问题。然后,从制度目标、市场结构及调节资源配置逻辑等角度,提炼三国容量市场的共性规律与差异化路径,并总结其在高比例可再生能源条件下的适应性表现。最后,结合中国电力市场的实际情况,从市场设计、成本分摊与市场衔接等方面提出国外容量市场实践对中国相关发展的启示与建议,为推动中国能源转型提供参考。

关键词: 爱尔兰容量市场, 英国容量市场, 美国PJM, 容量成本分摊, 容量拍卖

Abstract:

With the increasing share of renewable energy integration into the grid, the utilization hours of traditional fossil fuel power units have declined. The inadequate fixed cost recovery mechanism has hindered their transformation into regulating or backup units, leading existing thermal power units to be more inclined to exit the market and further exacerbating capacity shortages in the power system during peak load periods. Against this backdrop, this paper selects three representative capacity markets—Ireland, Great Britain, and the PJM Interconnection in the United States—as case studies. It systematically examines the operation of their capacity markets and the mechanisms for allocating capacity costs, with a focus on analyzing the practical outcomes and challenges faced by each market. Furthermore, from the perspectives of institutional objectives, market structure, and the logic of balancing resource allocation, this study extracts common patterns and differentiated approaches across the three capacity markets, summarizing their adaptability under high renewable energy penetration. Finally, in light of the actual conditions of China's electricity market, this paper puts forward implications and recommendations from foreign capacity market practices for the relevant development of China in terms of market design, cost allocation, and market coordination, so as to provide a reference for advancing China's energy transition.

Key words: capacity market of Ireland, capacity market of UK, US PJM, capacity cost allocation, capacity bidding


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