中国电力 ›› 2013, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (1): 7-10.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.2013.1.7.3

• 电力规划 • 上一篇    下一篇

2013年中国电力供需形势展望

顾宇桂, 罗智, 单葆国   

  1. 国网能源研究院,北京 100052
  • 收稿日期:2012-11-30 出版日期:2013-01-05 发布日期:2015-12-09
  • 作者简介:顾宇桂(1973—),女,江西上饶人,高级工程师,注册咨询工程师,从事电力能源供需分析、节能与电力需求侧管理等方面的研究。E-mail: guyugui@sgeri.sgcc.com.cn

Outlook 2013 of Power Supply and Demand in China and Related Suggestions

GU Yu-gui, LUO Zhi, SHAN Bao-guo   

  1. State Gird Energy Research Institute, Beijing 100052, China
  • Received:2012-11-30 Online:2013-01-05 Published:2015-12-09

摘要: 分析了中国2012年电力消费特点,对2013年电力需求、供应和供需平衡状况进行了预测。预测结果显示,随着各项宏观调控措施效果开始显现,全国电力需求增速将有所回升。如果不出现极端天气,全国电力供需总体平衡,预测2013年全国将新增发电装机规模7 500万kW,全国发电设备利用小时数将达到4 716 h,其中火电发电设备小时数将达到5 149 h。建议关注电源布局、可再生能源发电、电网建设和电煤价格并轨等问题。

关键词: 经济放缓, 电力供需平衡, 电源布局, 电煤价格并轨

Abstract: The electric power consumption characteristics of the year 2012 was reviewed and the power demand, supply and balance of the year 2013 was forecasted, which indicates that as a result of macro economic controls, the growth rate of national power demand will pick up, and the national power demand and supply will be balanced as a whole if no extreme weather occurs. Based on the analysis of power supply and demand in 2012, it is predicted that the installed capacity of the whole country will increase by 75 000 MW and the utilization hours of generators will reach to 4 716 h. It is pointed out that the attention should be paid on power source area distribution, renewable energy power generation, power grid construction and thermal power price system.

Key words: economic slowdown, power demand-supply balance, power source area layout, thermal power price system

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